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Posted By Topic: 欧冠赛后简报       - Views: 46
scooter 		05-Apr 2018 Thursday 5:21 PM (2225 days ago)               #1
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  		歐冠4強提前出爐 ? 次回合誰還能完成大逆轉 ?

歐冠8強首回合戰罷，4組對決中3組出現一方淨胜3球局面，皇馬巴薩利物浦均大胜對手，拜仁也在客場逆轉塞維利亞，歐冠4強名單幾乎提前出爐。

本週歐冠首日，皇馬客場3-0大勝尤文圖斯，拜仁2-1擒塞維利亞，次日巴薩4-1擊退羅馬，利物浦3-0完胜曼市。 4組對決中，皇馬利物浦均3球大勝，巴薩則打入4球為本輪之最，三大豪門均淨胜對手3球。拜仁客場擊敗塞維利亞，也終結西班牙魔咒（之前4年歐冠均是被西甲球隊淘汰）。

西甲雙雄局面大好，有望時隔3年再度攜手殺入歐冠4強。衛冕冠軍優勢最大，因為齊達內是率隊攻克尤文大球場，打破老婦人歐冠主場5年不敗金身，賽后連阿萊格里都承認，翻盤幾乎無望。巴薩兵不血刃4-1擊敗羅馬，雖丟了個主場失球，不過考慮到兩隊實力差距巨大，近10年首次打入過歐冠8強的紅狼，次回合主場翻盤概率微乎其微。

曼市兩年來各項賽事首次全場0射正，瓜迪奧拉13戰克洛普第6次失利，輸得毫無脾氣。不過曼市畢竟實力擺在那，本賽季聯賽主場曾5-0橫掃利物浦，次回合大逆轉概率依然存在。只是歐冠改制後，首回合3球以上劣勢告負的球隊，只有巴薩曾逆轉巴黎圣日耳曼，瓜帥要挑戰的是幾乎不可能完成的任務，利物浦時隔10年再入歐冠4強，僅一步之遙。

拜仁首回合2-1獲勝，是唯一僅淨胜1球的列強，考慮到塞維利亞上輪曾攻克老特拉福德淘汰曼聯，次回合懸念尚存。只是拜仁實力超過紅魔，海因克斯接手後各項賽事32戰28勝，主場15戰14勝1平，而塞維利亞鋒線效率欠佳防線漏洞不少，蒙特拉再創奇蹟的概率極低。

總體而言，皇馬巴薩拜仁利物浦會師本賽季歐冠4強的格局，幾乎難以被顛覆。媒體給出晉級概率分析，皇馬有97.8%的概率殺入4強，拜仁94.3%，利物浦94.1%，巴薩也高達88.1%。 SPI指數則顯示，皇馬巴薩與拜仁晉級半決賽概率均是98%，利物浦同樣高達93%。




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SIFEILOW 		05-Apr 2018 Thursday 6:15 PM (2225 days ago)            #2
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  		谢谢分享，有心水的队伍？ 



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scooter 		05-Apr 2018 Thursday 7:41 PM (2225 days ago)            #3
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  		quote originally posted by SIFEILOW:
谢谢分享，有心水的队伍？ 

想看西班牙内战




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SIFEILOW 		05-Apr 2018 Thursday 7:43 PM (2225 days ago)            #4
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  		quote originally posted by scooter:

想看西班牙内战



哈哈。。。到时球迷粉丝怎么办 ？



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scooter 		05-Apr 2018 Thursday 8:32 PM (2225 days ago)            #5
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  		quote originally posted by SIFEILOW:
哈哈。。。到时球迷粉丝怎么办 ？

哈哈，那就看着办吧




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sheringham_zhou 		05-Apr 2018 Thursday 9:44 PM (2225 days ago)            #6
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