Link alternatif AsianBookie.com: | asianbookie1.ru |  asianbookie1.top |  | (Bookmark CTRL+D)

SBOTOP

FUN88 - Official Betting Partner for Newcastle FC

M88.com


Main Menu | Preferences | Search | Register | Log In
 
  Registered Forum Members: 272662 and growing!

Hougang United vs Balestier Khalsa FC Analysis - AsianBookie.Com Forums

Gossip Corner 
 Main Menu > Gossip Corner > Hougang United vs Balestier Khalsa FC Analysis

   » CHAT Now! «  [ 190 Chatters Online ]
Search | Register | Log In
 ( Page 1 )  Go to Last Post    
Posted By Topic: Hougang United vs Balestier Khalsa FC Analysis       - Views: 40
Fahrenheit
19-Jan 2025 Sunday 1:43 PM (17 days ago)               #1
*Diamond Member*


Posts: 53346
Liked By: 41396
Joined: 26 May 08
Followers: 38



    

Tipsters
Championship:
Player has
not started

 


 




"Margin of Safety" as the Central Concept of Betting
A team's past ability to create quality chances is the expected number of goals that they should have produced. The expected number of goals in excess of the actual number of goals constitutes the "margin of safety". The margin is counted on to cushion the bettor against discomfiture in the event of a performance decline in the upcoming fixture. The soccer bettor does not expect the upcoming fixture to work out the same as in the past. If he were sure of that, the safety margin demanded might be small. The function of a safety margin is, in essence, that of rendering unnecessary an accurate estimate of the team's winning probability in the upcoming fixture. If the safety margin is sufficiently large, then it is enough to assume that the team's upcoming performance will not fall far below their expected goals in order for the bettor to feel sufficiently cushioned against bad luck. The safety margin is always dependent on the odds that the bettor accepts from the bookie. It will be large in certain odds, small at some lower odds, and negative when the odds is too low. However, even with a safety margin in the bettor's favour, he may lose his bet. For the margin guarantees only that he has a better chance of winning - not that loss is impossible. 
Theory of Diversification
There is a close logical connection between the concept of safety margin and the principle of diversification. One is correlative with the other. Even with a margin in the bettor’s favor, an individual bet may work out badly. But as the number of such commitments is increased the more certain does it become that the aggregate of the profits will exceed the aggregate of the losses. This point may be made more colorful by a reference to the arithmetic of roulette. If a man bets $1 on a single number, he is paid $35 profit when he wins—but the chances are 37 to 1 that he will lose. He has a “negative margin of safety.” In his case diversification is foolish. The more numbers he bets on, the smaller his chance of ending with a profit. If he regularly bets $1 on every number (including 0 and 00), he is certain to lose $2 on each turn of the wheel. But suppose the winner received $39 profit instead of $35. Then he would have a small but important margin of safety. Therefore, the more numbers he wagers on, the better his chance of gain. And he could be certain of winning $2 on every spin by simply betting $1 each on all the numbers. (Incidentally, the two examples given actually describe the respective positions of the player and proprietor of a wheel with a 0 and 00.)

AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
Bolametrix Quantitative Research
(Est. Oct 2014)

Total Members: 46
   Like     



seelangui
19-Jan 2025 Sunday 3:40 PM (17 days ago)            #2
*Diamond Member*


Posts: 93266
Liked By: 61726
Joined: 30 May 11
Followers: 29



    

Warned count
(last 30 days):



Tipsters
Championship:
AB$: -267,986.12
Ranked:
#2572

 
Nice alot goals but raining 
should be normal 



see what you want to see believe all you see
My current Mission is keep wining until S_P 斗/close shop
use main & sub method unit 1 unit= $20:
Use main bet as base the rest side bet to add on to max win or more Name it Eye jackpot system 南神眼



betting records at
http://forums.asianbookie.com/viewmessages.cfm?Forum=45&Topic=2112557


AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
東方不敗
(Est. Nov 2013)

Team Ranked: #104 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 684,513 Total Members: 20

7 days WARNING given on 05-Feb-2025 23:34 HRS--- Please Be Respectful To Another Person''s Country

-Warning will be lifted on 12-Feb-2025

   Like     
seelangui
19-Jan 2025 Sunday 3:44 PM (17 days ago)            #3
*Diamond Member*


Posts: 93266
Liked By: 61726
Joined: 30 May 11
Followers: 29



    

Warned count
(last 30 days):



Tipsters
Championship:
AB$: -267,986.12
Ranked:
#2572

 
U should do after match results videos also
1 match can have 2 videos 
Saved time & effort 



see what you want to see believe all you see
My current Mission is keep wining until S_P 斗/close shop
use main & sub method unit 1 unit= $20:
Use main bet as base the rest side bet to add on to max win or more Name it Eye jackpot system 南神眼



betting records at
http://forums.asianbookie.com/viewmessages.cfm?Forum=45&Topic=2112557


AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
東方不敗
(Est. Nov 2013)

Team Ranked: #104 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 684,513 Total Members: 20

7 days WARNING given on 05-Feb-2025 23:34 HRS--- Please Be Respectful To Another Person''s Country

-Warning will be lifted on 12-Feb-2025

   Like     
Fahrenheit
19-Jan 2025 Sunday 3:51 PM (17 days ago)            #4
*Diamond Member*


Posts: 53346
Liked By: 41396
Joined: 26 May 08
Followers: 38



    

Tipsters
Championship:
Player has
not started

 
quote originally posted by seelangui:
U should do after match results videos also
1 match can have 2 videos 
Saved time & effort



After match talk about what?
 




"Margin of Safety" as the Central Concept of Betting
A team's past ability to create quality chances is the expected number of goals that they should have produced. The expected number of goals in excess of the actual number of goals constitutes the "margin of safety". The margin is counted on to cushion the bettor against discomfiture in the event of a performance decline in the upcoming fixture. The soccer bettor does not expect the upcoming fixture to work out the same as in the past. If he were sure of that, the safety margin demanded might be small. The function of a safety margin is, in essence, that of rendering unnecessary an accurate estimate of the team's winning probability in the upcoming fixture. If the safety margin is sufficiently large, then it is enough to assume that the team's upcoming performance will not fall far below their expected goals in order for the bettor to feel sufficiently cushioned against bad luck. The safety margin is always dependent on the odds that the bettor accepts from the bookie. It will be large in certain odds, small at some lower odds, and negative when the odds is too low. However, even with a safety margin in the bettor's favour, he may lose his bet. For the margin guarantees only that he has a better chance of winning - not that loss is impossible. 
Theory of Diversification
There is a close logical connection between the concept of safety margin and the principle of diversification. One is correlative with the other. Even with a margin in the bettor’s favor, an individual bet may work out badly. But as the number of such commitments is increased the more certain does it become that the aggregate of the profits will exceed the aggregate of the losses. This point may be made more colorful by a reference to the arithmetic of roulette. If a man bets $1 on a single number, he is paid $35 profit when he wins—but the chances are 37 to 1 that he will lose. He has a “negative margin of safety.” In his case diversification is foolish. The more numbers he bets on, the smaller his chance of ending with a profit. If he regularly bets $1 on every number (including 0 and 00), he is certain to lose $2 on each turn of the wheel. But suppose the winner received $39 profit instead of $35. Then he would have a small but important margin of safety. Therefore, the more numbers he wagers on, the better his chance of gain. And he could be certain of winning $2 on every spin by simply betting $1 each on all the numbers. (Incidentally, the two examples given actually describe the respective positions of the player and proprietor of a wheel with a 0 and 00.)

AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
Bolametrix Quantitative Research
(Est. Oct 2014)

Total Members: 46
   Like     
seelangui
19-Jan 2025 Sunday 4:21 PM (17 days ago)            #5
*Diamond Member*


Posts: 93266
Liked By: 61726
Joined: 30 May 11
Followers: 29



    

Warned count
(last 30 days):



Tipsters
Championship:
AB$: -267,986.12
Ranked:
#2572

 
quote originally posted by Fahrenheit:
After match talk about what?



Scores goals scored by with players 
Red card and man of the match 
Matching the previous videos also
Alot to talks also😂
In simple high light 
U got watches light light before 
Got soccer commentary also on the games
How many dangerous attempts shots on goals free kicks goals scored by which players free kick scored or pk headed in
Alot to talks about 
Views on it would be great also
Everyday had matches and alot to talking about 😂I had give you Alot of ideas already 
 



see what you want to see believe all you see
My current Mission is keep wining until S_P 斗/close shop
use main & sub method unit 1 unit= $20:
Use main bet as base the rest side bet to add on to max win or more Name it Eye jackpot system 南神眼



betting records at
http://forums.asianbookie.com/viewmessages.cfm?Forum=45&Topic=2112557


AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
東方不敗
(Est. Nov 2013)

Team Ranked: #104 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 684,513 Total Members: 20

7 days WARNING given on 05-Feb-2025 23:34 HRS--- Please Be Respectful To Another Person''s Country

-Warning will be lifted on 12-Feb-2025

   Like     
seelangui
19-Jan 2025 Sunday 4:24 PM (17 days ago)            #6
*Diamond Member*


Posts: 93266
Liked By: 61726
Joined: 30 May 11
Followers: 29



    

Warned count
(last 30 days):



Tipsters
Championship:
AB$: -267,986.12
Ranked:
#2572

 
quote originally posted by Fahrenheit:
After match talk about what?




 



see what you want to see believe all you see
My current Mission is keep wining until S_P 斗/close shop
use main & sub method unit 1 unit= $20:
Use main bet as base the rest side bet to add on to max win or more Name it Eye jackpot system 南神眼



betting records at
http://forums.asianbookie.com/viewmessages.cfm?Forum=45&Topic=2112557


AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
東方不敗
(Est. Nov 2013)

Team Ranked: #104 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 684,513 Total Members: 20

7 days WARNING given on 05-Feb-2025 23:34 HRS--- Please Be Respectful To Another Person''s Country

-Warning will be lifted on 12-Feb-2025

   Like     
seelangui
19-Jan 2025 Sunday 4:28 PM (17 days ago)            #7
*Diamond Member*


Posts: 93266
Liked By: 61726
Joined: 30 May 11
Followers: 29



    

Warned count
(last 30 days):



Tipsters
Championship:
AB$: -267,986.12
Ranked:
#2572

 
quote originally posted by Fahrenheit:
After match talk about what?



Look at flashscore they also talked about
matches after its ends
U can get ideas or copy something from
them also😂 surely got ppl watched also
On earth got billion soccer fans
But very less ppl do matches previews & 
After matches round up also
It's a big market also😂u can set up online stalls selling football products also
Don't necessarily to hold any products 
Just direct ppl in u get commission also
Good income also😋good luck 
Happy to help u also



see what you want to see believe all you see
My current Mission is keep wining until S_P 斗/close shop
use main & sub method unit 1 unit= $20:
Use main bet as base the rest side bet to add on to max win or more Name it Eye jackpot system 南神眼



betting records at
http://forums.asianbookie.com/viewmessages.cfm?Forum=45&Topic=2112557


AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
東方不敗
(Est. Nov 2013)

Team Ranked: #104 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 684,513 Total Members: 20

7 days WARNING given on 05-Feb-2025 23:34 HRS--- Please Be Respectful To Another Person''s Country

-Warning will be lifted on 12-Feb-2025

   Like     
Fahrenheit
19-Jan 2025 Sunday 4:59 PM (17 days ago)            #8
*Diamond Member*


Posts: 53346
Liked By: 41396
Joined: 26 May 08
Followers: 38



    

Tipsters
Championship:
Player has
not started

 
quote originally posted by seelangui:
Look at flashscore they also talked about
matches after its ends
U can get ideas or copy something from
them also😂 surely got ppl watched also
On earth got billion soccer fans
But very less ppl do matches previews & 
After matches round up also
It's a big market also😂u can set up online stalls selling football products also
Don't necessarily to hold any products 
Just direct ppl in u get commission also
Good income also😋good luck 
Happy to help u also



No lah, no point. Match preview already very difficiult to ake, one video takes 1-2 hours to make... No time
 




"Margin of Safety" as the Central Concept of Betting
A team's past ability to create quality chances is the expected number of goals that they should have produced. The expected number of goals in excess of the actual number of goals constitutes the "margin of safety". The margin is counted on to cushion the bettor against discomfiture in the event of a performance decline in the upcoming fixture. The soccer bettor does not expect the upcoming fixture to work out the same as in the past. If he were sure of that, the safety margin demanded might be small. The function of a safety margin is, in essence, that of rendering unnecessary an accurate estimate of the team's winning probability in the upcoming fixture. If the safety margin is sufficiently large, then it is enough to assume that the team's upcoming performance will not fall far below their expected goals in order for the bettor to feel sufficiently cushioned against bad luck. The safety margin is always dependent on the odds that the bettor accepts from the bookie. It will be large in certain odds, small at some lower odds, and negative when the odds is too low. However, even with a safety margin in the bettor's favour, he may lose his bet. For the margin guarantees only that he has a better chance of winning - not that loss is impossible. 
Theory of Diversification
There is a close logical connection between the concept of safety margin and the principle of diversification. One is correlative with the other. Even with a margin in the bettor’s favor, an individual bet may work out badly. But as the number of such commitments is increased the more certain does it become that the aggregate of the profits will exceed the aggregate of the losses. This point may be made more colorful by a reference to the arithmetic of roulette. If a man bets $1 on a single number, he is paid $35 profit when he wins—but the chances are 37 to 1 that he will lose. He has a “negative margin of safety.” In his case diversification is foolish. The more numbers he bets on, the smaller his chance of ending with a profit. If he regularly bets $1 on every number (including 0 and 00), he is certain to lose $2 on each turn of the wheel. But suppose the winner received $39 profit instead of $35. Then he would have a small but important margin of safety. Therefore, the more numbers he wagers on, the better his chance of gain. And he could be certain of winning $2 on every spin by simply betting $1 each on all the numbers. (Incidentally, the two examples given actually describe the respective positions of the player and proprietor of a wheel with a 0 and 00.)

AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
Bolametrix Quantitative Research
(Est. Oct 2014)

Total Members: 46
   Like     
seelangui
19-Jan 2025 Sunday 5:02 PM (17 days ago)            #9
*Diamond Member*


Posts: 93266
Liked By: 61726
Joined: 30 May 11
Followers: 29



    

Warned count
(last 30 days):



Tipsters
Championship:
AB$: -267,986.12
Ranked:
#2572

 
quote originally posted by Fahrenheit:
No lah, no point. Match preview already very difficiult to ake, one video takes 1-2 hours to make... No time



Ok😂1 video 1 2 hours 
tough 
Ai no help 
I see ppl make a video use ai 5 minutes enough 😂
 



see what you want to see believe all you see
My current Mission is keep wining until S_P 斗/close shop
use main & sub method unit 1 unit= $20:
Use main bet as base the rest side bet to add on to max win or more Name it Eye jackpot system 南神眼



betting records at
http://forums.asianbookie.com/viewmessages.cfm?Forum=45&Topic=2112557


AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
東方不敗
(Est. Nov 2013)

Team Ranked: #104 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 684,513 Total Members: 20

7 days WARNING given on 05-Feb-2025 23:34 HRS--- Please Be Respectful To Another Person''s Country

-Warning will be lifted on 12-Feb-2025

   Like     
Fahrenheit
19-Jan 2025 Sunday 5:04 PM (17 days ago)            #10
*Diamond Member*


Posts: 53346
Liked By: 41396
Joined: 26 May 08
Followers: 38



    

Tipsters
Championship:
Player has
not started

 
quote originally posted by seelangui:
Ok😂1 video 1 2 hours 
tough 
Ai no help 
I see ppl make a video use ai 5 minutes enough 😂



It's not the AI takes time. It's the video editing takes a lot of time.

Those 5 minutes type of video is those low hanging fruit, low effort video, no real content, just pretty girls dancing.

Match preview, Korean drama, MV, add subtitle, all these require research and video editing, etc,  takes up a lot of times.. 
 




"Margin of Safety" as the Central Concept of Betting
A team's past ability to create quality chances is the expected number of goals that they should have produced. The expected number of goals in excess of the actual number of goals constitutes the "margin of safety". The margin is counted on to cushion the bettor against discomfiture in the event of a performance decline in the upcoming fixture. The soccer bettor does not expect the upcoming fixture to work out the same as in the past. If he were sure of that, the safety margin demanded might be small. The function of a safety margin is, in essence, that of rendering unnecessary an accurate estimate of the team's winning probability in the upcoming fixture. If the safety margin is sufficiently large, then it is enough to assume that the team's upcoming performance will not fall far below their expected goals in order for the bettor to feel sufficiently cushioned against bad luck. The safety margin is always dependent on the odds that the bettor accepts from the bookie. It will be large in certain odds, small at some lower odds, and negative when the odds is too low. However, even with a safety margin in the bettor's favour, he may lose his bet. For the margin guarantees only that he has a better chance of winning - not that loss is impossible. 
Theory of Diversification
There is a close logical connection between the concept of safety margin and the principle of diversification. One is correlative with the other. Even with a margin in the bettor’s favor, an individual bet may work out badly. But as the number of such commitments is increased the more certain does it become that the aggregate of the profits will exceed the aggregate of the losses. This point may be made more colorful by a reference to the arithmetic of roulette. If a man bets $1 on a single number, he is paid $35 profit when he wins—but the chances are 37 to 1 that he will lose. He has a “negative margin of safety.” In his case diversification is foolish. The more numbers he bets on, the smaller his chance of ending with a profit. If he regularly bets $1 on every number (including 0 and 00), he is certain to lose $2 on each turn of the wheel. But suppose the winner received $39 profit instead of $35. Then he would have a small but important margin of safety. Therefore, the more numbers he wagers on, the better his chance of gain. And he could be certain of winning $2 on every spin by simply betting $1 each on all the numbers. (Incidentally, the two examples given actually describe the respective positions of the player and proprietor of a wheel with a 0 and 00.)

AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
Bolametrix Quantitative Research
(Est. Oct 2014)

Total Members: 46
   Like     
seelangui
19-Jan 2025 Sunday 5:07 PM (17 days ago)            #11
*Diamond Member*


Posts: 93266
Liked By: 61726
Joined: 30 May 11
Followers: 29



    

Warned count
(last 30 days):



Tipsters
Championship:
AB$: -267,986.12
Ranked:
#2572

 
quote originally posted by Fahrenheit:
It's not the AI takes time. It's the video editing takes a lot of time.

Those 5 minutes type of video is those low hanging fruit, low effort video, no real content, just pretty girls dancing.

Match preview, Korean drama, MV, add subtitle, all these require research and video editing, etc,  takes up a lot of times.. 



O I c ok👏
I watched already 
 



see what you want to see believe all you see
My current Mission is keep wining until S_P 斗/close shop
use main & sub method unit 1 unit= $20:
Use main bet as base the rest side bet to add on to max win or more Name it Eye jackpot system 南神眼



betting records at
http://forums.asianbookie.com/viewmessages.cfm?Forum=45&Topic=2112557


AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
東方不敗
(Est. Nov 2013)

Team Ranked: #104 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 684,513 Total Members: 20

7 days WARNING given on 05-Feb-2025 23:34 HRS--- Please Be Respectful To Another Person''s Country

-Warning will be lifted on 12-Feb-2025

   Like     
[Go Back to Top]
 Main Menu > Gossip Corner > Hougang United vs Balestier Khalsa FC Analysis



Change Timezone:   
 
7. H_M ms

AsianBookie.com Forums Home | Back to AsianBookie.com

© Copyright 1998-2025 AsianBookie.Com - All rights reserved.
Advertise Feedback Privacy Policy Terms of Service