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Posted By Topic: My gf apply pr successfully 😂       - Views: 230
seelangui
13-Apr 2024 Saturday 6:35 PM (18 days ago)               #1
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see what you want to see believe all you see
My current Mission is keep wining until S_P 斗/close shop
use main & sub method unit 1 unit= $20:
Use main bet as base the rest side bet to add on to max win or more Name it Eye jackpot system 南神眼



betting records at
http://forums.asianbookie.com/viewmessages.cfm?Forum=45&Topic=2112557


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Fahrenheit
13-Apr 2024 Saturday 8:58 PM (18 days ago)            #2
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You abandoned Lin Lin, and gave her piano to your new gf?



 




"Margin of Safety" as the Central Concept of Betting
A team's past ability to create quality chances is the expected number of goals that they should have produced. The expected number of goals in excess of the actual number of goals constitutes the "margin of safety". The margin is counted on to cushion the bettor against discomfiture in the event of a performance decline in the upcoming fixture. The soccer bettor does not expect the upcoming fixture to work out the same as in the past. If he were sure of that, the safety margin demanded might be small. The function of a safety margin is, in essence, that of rendering unnecessary an accurate estimate of the team's winning probability in the upcoming fixture. If the safety margin is sufficiently large, then it is enough to assume that the team's upcoming performance will not fall far below their expected goals in order for the bettor to feel sufficiently cushioned against bad luck. The safety margin is always dependent on the odds that the bettor accepts from the bookie. It will be large in certain odds, small at some lower odds, and negative when the odds is too low. However, even with a safety margin in the bettor's favour, he may lose his bet. For the margin guarantees only that he has a better chance of winning - not that loss is impossible. 
Theory of Diversification
There is a close logical connection between the concept of safety margin and the principle of diversification. One is correlative with the other. Even with a margin in the bettor’s favor, an individual bet may work out badly. But as the number of such commitments is increased the more certain does it become that the aggregate of the profits will exceed the aggregate of the losses. This point may be made more colorful by a reference to the arithmetic of roulette. If a man bets $1 on a single number, he is paid $35 profit when he wins—but the chances are 37 to 1 that he will lose. He has a “negative margin of safety.” In his case diversification is foolish. The more numbers he bets on, the smaller his chance of ending with a profit. If he regularly bets $1 on every number (including 0 and 00), he is certain to lose $2 on each turn of the wheel. But suppose the winner received $39 profit instead of $35. Then he would have a small but important margin of safety. Therefore, the more numbers he wagers on, the better his chance of gain. And he could be certain of winning $2 on every spin by simply betting $1 each on all the numbers. (Incidentally, the two examples given actually describe the respective positions of the player and proprietor of a wheel with a 0 and 00.)

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JOGK  1 Likes  
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LONGSTER
14-Apr 2024 Sunday 10:03 AM (18 days ago)            #3
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JOGK
14-Apr 2024 Sunday 10:30 AM (18 days ago)            #4
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quote originally posted by Fahrenheit:
You abandoned Lin Lin, and gave her piano to your new gf?

 


😆😆😆😆😆

 




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HUAT HUAT 4366
14-Apr 2024 Sunday 4:05 PM (18 days ago)            #5
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Talk nonsense.
I am not a music lover.
My idiotic neighbour had been playing piano noise for past 8 years.
To them is music but to me, it sound like SHIT




AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
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Team Ranked: #3 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 83,545,000 Total Members: 1291
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justin11sg
14-Apr 2024 Sunday 4:16 PM (18 days ago)            #6
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My gf is a PR for 15 years




Best Regards,

JIA





AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
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Team Ranked: #53 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 1,693,125 Total Members: 44
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seelangui
14-Apr 2024 Sunday 6:10 PM (18 days ago)            #7
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quote originally posted by Fahrenheit:
You abandoned Lin Lin, and gave her piano to your new gf?

 




Lin lin don't know why not upload videos anymore 😂

Just waiting for her new videos 



see what you want to see believe all you see
My current Mission is keep wining until S_P 斗/close shop
use main & sub method unit 1 unit= $20:
Use main bet as base the rest side bet to add on to max win or more Name it Eye jackpot system 南神眼



betting records at
http://forums.asianbookie.com/viewmessages.cfm?Forum=45&Topic=2112557


AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
東方不敗
(Est. Nov 2013)

Total Members: 17
   Like     
Fahrenheit
14-Apr 2024 Sunday 6:28 PM (17 days ago)            #8
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Posts: 51781
Liked By: 39346
Joined: 26 May 08
Followers: 58



    

Tipsters
Championship:
AB$: 901,562.50
Ranked:
#1415

 
quote originally posted by seelangui:

Lin lin don't know why not upload videos anymore 😂

Just waiting for her new videos


Because you broke up with her for Krazy Koala

 




"Margin of Safety" as the Central Concept of Betting
A team's past ability to create quality chances is the expected number of goals that they should have produced. The expected number of goals in excess of the actual number of goals constitutes the "margin of safety". The margin is counted on to cushion the bettor against discomfiture in the event of a performance decline in the upcoming fixture. The soccer bettor does not expect the upcoming fixture to work out the same as in the past. If he were sure of that, the safety margin demanded might be small. The function of a safety margin is, in essence, that of rendering unnecessary an accurate estimate of the team's winning probability in the upcoming fixture. If the safety margin is sufficiently large, then it is enough to assume that the team's upcoming performance will not fall far below their expected goals in order for the bettor to feel sufficiently cushioned against bad luck. The safety margin is always dependent on the odds that the bettor accepts from the bookie. It will be large in certain odds, small at some lower odds, and negative when the odds is too low. However, even with a safety margin in the bettor's favour, he may lose his bet. For the margin guarantees only that he has a better chance of winning - not that loss is impossible. 
Theory of Diversification
There is a close logical connection between the concept of safety margin and the principle of diversification. One is correlative with the other. Even with a margin in the bettor’s favor, an individual bet may work out badly. But as the number of such commitments is increased the more certain does it become that the aggregate of the profits will exceed the aggregate of the losses. This point may be made more colorful by a reference to the arithmetic of roulette. If a man bets $1 on a single number, he is paid $35 profit when he wins—but the chances are 37 to 1 that he will lose. He has a “negative margin of safety.” In his case diversification is foolish. The more numbers he bets on, the smaller his chance of ending with a profit. If he regularly bets $1 on every number (including 0 and 00), he is certain to lose $2 on each turn of the wheel. But suppose the winner received $39 profit instead of $35. Then he would have a small but important margin of safety. Therefore, the more numbers he wagers on, the better his chance of gain. And he could be certain of winning $2 on every spin by simply betting $1 each on all the numbers. (Incidentally, the two examples given actually describe the respective positions of the player and proprietor of a wheel with a 0 and 00.)

AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
Bolametrix Quantitative Research
(Est. Oct 2014)

Team Ranked: #53 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 1,693,125 Total Members: 44
   Like     
seelangui
14-Apr 2024 Sunday 6:29 PM (17 days ago)            #9
*Diamond Member*


Posts: 84364
Liked By: 58589
Joined: 30 May 11
Followers: 32



    

Tipsters
Championship:
AB$: -507,187.50
Ranked:
#2823

 
quote originally posted by Fahrenheit:
Because you broke up with her for Krazy Koala




😂no la I liked lin lin always 

No scolding much also



see what you want to see believe all you see
My current Mission is keep wining until S_P 斗/close shop
use main & sub method unit 1 unit= $20:
Use main bet as base the rest side bet to add on to max win or more Name it Eye jackpot system 南神眼



betting records at
http://forums.asianbookie.com/viewmessages.cfm?Forum=45&Topic=2112557


AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
東方不敗
(Est. Nov 2013)

Total Members: 17
   Like     
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