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Another suicide case...Bonnie Lai Suk-yin Passed Away age 46 - AsianBookie.Com Forums

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Posted By Topic: Another suicide case...Bonnie Lai Suk-yin Passed Away age 46       - Views: 287
Fahrenheit
29-Dec 2023 Friday 8:16 AM (122 days ago)
Data Dunia and Eleven Men  2 Likes  
              #1
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"Margin of Safety" as the Central Concept of Betting
A team's past ability to create quality chances is the expected number of goals that they should have produced. The expected number of goals in excess of the actual number of goals constitutes the "margin of safety". The margin is counted on to cushion the bettor against discomfiture in the event of a performance decline in the upcoming fixture. The soccer bettor does not expect the upcoming fixture to work out the same as in the past. If he were sure of that, the safety margin demanded might be small. The function of a safety margin is, in essence, that of rendering unnecessary an accurate estimate of the team's winning probability in the upcoming fixture. If the safety margin is sufficiently large, then it is enough to assume that the team's upcoming performance will not fall far below their expected goals in order for the bettor to feel sufficiently cushioned against bad luck. The safety margin is always dependent on the odds that the bettor accepts from the bookie. It will be large in certain odds, small at some lower odds, and negative when the odds is too low. However, even with a safety margin in the bettor's favour, he may lose his bet. For the margin guarantees only that he has a better chance of winning - not that loss is impossible. 
Theory of Diversification
There is a close logical connection between the concept of safety margin and the principle of diversification. One is correlative with the other. Even with a margin in the bettor’s favor, an individual bet may work out badly. But as the number of such commitments is increased the more certain does it become that the aggregate of the profits will exceed the aggregate of the losses. This point may be made more colorful by a reference to the arithmetic of roulette. If a man bets $1 on a single number, he is paid $35 profit when he wins—but the chances are 37 to 1 that he will lose. He has a “negative margin of safety.” In his case diversification is foolish. The more numbers he bets on, the smaller his chance of ending with a profit. If he regularly bets $1 on every number (including 0 and 00), he is certain to lose $2 on each turn of the wheel. But suppose the winner received $39 profit instead of $35. Then he would have a small but important margin of safety. Therefore, the more numbers he wagers on, the better his chance of gain. And he could be certain of winning $2 on every spin by simply betting $1 each on all the numbers. (Incidentally, the two examples given actually describe the respective positions of the player and proprietor of a wheel with a 0 and 00.)

AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
Bolametrix Quantitative Research
(Est. Oct 2014)

Team Ranked: #51 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 1,693,125 Total Members: 44
 
Data Dunia and Eleven Men  2 Likes  
 Like     



Fahrenheit
29-Dec 2023 Friday 8:16 AM (122 days ago)            #2
*Diamond Member*


Posts: 51753
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Joined: 26 May 08
Followers: 58



    

Tipsters
Championship:
AB$: 901,562.50
Ranked:
#1352

 


 




"Margin of Safety" as the Central Concept of Betting
A team's past ability to create quality chances is the expected number of goals that they should have produced. The expected number of goals in excess of the actual number of goals constitutes the "margin of safety". The margin is counted on to cushion the bettor against discomfiture in the event of a performance decline in the upcoming fixture. The soccer bettor does not expect the upcoming fixture to work out the same as in the past. If he were sure of that, the safety margin demanded might be small. The function of a safety margin is, in essence, that of rendering unnecessary an accurate estimate of the team's winning probability in the upcoming fixture. If the safety margin is sufficiently large, then it is enough to assume that the team's upcoming performance will not fall far below their expected goals in order for the bettor to feel sufficiently cushioned against bad luck. The safety margin is always dependent on the odds that the bettor accepts from the bookie. It will be large in certain odds, small at some lower odds, and negative when the odds is too low. However, even with a safety margin in the bettor's favour, he may lose his bet. For the margin guarantees only that he has a better chance of winning - not that loss is impossible. 
Theory of Diversification
There is a close logical connection between the concept of safety margin and the principle of diversification. One is correlative with the other. Even with a margin in the bettor’s favor, an individual bet may work out badly. But as the number of such commitments is increased the more certain does it become that the aggregate of the profits will exceed the aggregate of the losses. This point may be made more colorful by a reference to the arithmetic of roulette. If a man bets $1 on a single number, he is paid $35 profit when he wins—but the chances are 37 to 1 that he will lose. He has a “negative margin of safety.” In his case diversification is foolish. The more numbers he bets on, the smaller his chance of ending with a profit. If he regularly bets $1 on every number (including 0 and 00), he is certain to lose $2 on each turn of the wheel. But suppose the winner received $39 profit instead of $35. Then he would have a small but important margin of safety. Therefore, the more numbers he wagers on, the better his chance of gain. And he could be certain of winning $2 on every spin by simply betting $1 each on all the numbers. (Incidentally, the two examples given actually describe the respective positions of the player and proprietor of a wheel with a 0 and 00.)

AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
Bolametrix Quantitative Research
(Est. Oct 2014)

Team Ranked: #51 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 1,693,125 Total Members: 44
 
Eleven Men  1 Likes  
 Like     
Eleven Men
29-Dec 2023 Friday 8:31 AM (122 days ago)            #3
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May her soul rest in peace 😔



 
Jimmy Tan  1 Likes  
 Like     
Eleven Men
29-Dec 2023 Friday 8:32 AM (122 days ago)            #4
Administrator

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Depression is a scary world 🙁



 
Fahrenheit  1 Likes  
 Like     
Fahrenheit
29-Dec 2023 Friday 8:56 AM (122 days ago)            #5
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AB$: 901,562.50
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quote originally posted by Eleven Men:
Depression is a scary world 🙁






 




"Margin of Safety" as the Central Concept of Betting
A team's past ability to create quality chances is the expected number of goals that they should have produced. The expected number of goals in excess of the actual number of goals constitutes the "margin of safety". The margin is counted on to cushion the bettor against discomfiture in the event of a performance decline in the upcoming fixture. The soccer bettor does not expect the upcoming fixture to work out the same as in the past. If he were sure of that, the safety margin demanded might be small. The function of a safety margin is, in essence, that of rendering unnecessary an accurate estimate of the team's winning probability in the upcoming fixture. If the safety margin is sufficiently large, then it is enough to assume that the team's upcoming performance will not fall far below their expected goals in order for the bettor to feel sufficiently cushioned against bad luck. The safety margin is always dependent on the odds that the bettor accepts from the bookie. It will be large in certain odds, small at some lower odds, and negative when the odds is too low. However, even with a safety margin in the bettor's favour, he may lose his bet. For the margin guarantees only that he has a better chance of winning - not that loss is impossible. 
Theory of Diversification
There is a close logical connection between the concept of safety margin and the principle of diversification. One is correlative with the other. Even with a margin in the bettor’s favor, an individual bet may work out badly. But as the number of such commitments is increased the more certain does it become that the aggregate of the profits will exceed the aggregate of the losses. This point may be made more colorful by a reference to the arithmetic of roulette. If a man bets $1 on a single number, he is paid $35 profit when he wins—but the chances are 37 to 1 that he will lose. He has a “negative margin of safety.” In his case diversification is foolish. The more numbers he bets on, the smaller his chance of ending with a profit. If he regularly bets $1 on every number (including 0 and 00), he is certain to lose $2 on each turn of the wheel. But suppose the winner received $39 profit instead of $35. Then he would have a small but important margin of safety. Therefore, the more numbers he wagers on, the better his chance of gain. And he could be certain of winning $2 on every spin by simply betting $1 each on all the numbers. (Incidentally, the two examples given actually describe the respective positions of the player and proprietor of a wheel with a 0 and 00.)

AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
Bolametrix Quantitative Research
(Est. Oct 2014)

Team Ranked: #51 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 1,693,125 Total Members: 44
 
Eleven Men  1 Likes  
 Like     
Jimmy.Soong
29-Dec 2023 Friday 8:58 AM (122 days ago)            #6
Junior Member


Posts: 12
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Joined: 22 Dec 23


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AB$: 900,000
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#1371

 
Unstable personality & inadequate mindful foundation

Caution for all - an independent personality is not free & easy for anyone to be.

Always stay in the community - having friends is just as important as having money.




Take it from another perspect, no one would ever want to kill their.own.self. , agree?

   Like     
seelangui
29-Dec 2023 Friday 9:50 AM (122 days ago)            #7
*Diamond Member*


Posts: 84185
Liked By: 58539
Joined: 30 May 11
Followers: 32



    

Tipsters
Championship:
AB$: -507,187.50
Ranked:
#2783

 
Rip
rich & famous 
 



see what you want to see believe all you see
My current Mission is keep wining until S_P 斗/close shop
use main & sub method unit 1 unit= $20:
Use main bet as base the rest side bet to add on to max win or more Name it Eye jackpot system 南神眼



betting records at
http://forums.asianbookie.com/viewmessages.cfm?Forum=45&Topic=2112557


AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
東方不敗
(Est. Nov 2013)

Total Members: 17
 
Jimmy Tan  1 Likes  
 Like     
Fahrenheit
29-Dec 2023 Friday 9:54 AM (122 days ago)            #8
*Diamond Member*


Posts: 51753
Liked By: 39337
Joined: 26 May 08
Followers: 58



    

Tipsters
Championship:
AB$: 901,562.50
Ranked:
#1352

 
quote originally posted by Jimmy.Soong:
Unstable personality & inadequate mindful foundation

Caution for all - an independent personality is not free & easy for anyone to be.

Always stay in the community - having friends is just as important as having money.




Take it from another perspect, no one would ever want to kill their.own.self. , agree?


Have you watched before the Japanese anime "A Silent Voice"? it revolves around the topic of suicide 





 




"Margin of Safety" as the Central Concept of Betting
A team's past ability to create quality chances is the expected number of goals that they should have produced. The expected number of goals in excess of the actual number of goals constitutes the "margin of safety". The margin is counted on to cushion the bettor against discomfiture in the event of a performance decline in the upcoming fixture. The soccer bettor does not expect the upcoming fixture to work out the same as in the past. If he were sure of that, the safety margin demanded might be small. The function of a safety margin is, in essence, that of rendering unnecessary an accurate estimate of the team's winning probability in the upcoming fixture. If the safety margin is sufficiently large, then it is enough to assume that the team's upcoming performance will not fall far below their expected goals in order for the bettor to feel sufficiently cushioned against bad luck. The safety margin is always dependent on the odds that the bettor accepts from the bookie. It will be large in certain odds, small at some lower odds, and negative when the odds is too low. However, even with a safety margin in the bettor's favour, he may lose his bet. For the margin guarantees only that he has a better chance of winning - not that loss is impossible. 
Theory of Diversification
There is a close logical connection between the concept of safety margin and the principle of diversification. One is correlative with the other. Even with a margin in the bettor’s favor, an individual bet may work out badly. But as the number of such commitments is increased the more certain does it become that the aggregate of the profits will exceed the aggregate of the losses. This point may be made more colorful by a reference to the arithmetic of roulette. If a man bets $1 on a single number, he is paid $35 profit when he wins—but the chances are 37 to 1 that he will lose. He has a “negative margin of safety.” In his case diversification is foolish. The more numbers he bets on, the smaller his chance of ending with a profit. If he regularly bets $1 on every number (including 0 and 00), he is certain to lose $2 on each turn of the wheel. But suppose the winner received $39 profit instead of $35. Then he would have a small but important margin of safety. Therefore, the more numbers he wagers on, the better his chance of gain. And he could be certain of winning $2 on every spin by simply betting $1 each on all the numbers. (Incidentally, the two examples given actually describe the respective positions of the player and proprietor of a wheel with a 0 and 00.)

AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
Bolametrix Quantitative Research
(Est. Oct 2014)

Team Ranked: #51 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 1,693,125 Total Members: 44
   Like     
Fahrenheit
29-Dec 2023 Friday 10:11 AM (122 days ago)            #9
*Diamond Member*


Posts: 51753
Liked By: 39337
Joined: 26 May 08
Followers: 58



    

Tipsters
Championship:
AB$: 901,562.50
Ranked:
#1352

 
quote originally posted by seelangui:
Rip
rich & famous 


seelangui also rich, collect winnings daily, & famous in AB... pls take care of your mental health 

 




"Margin of Safety" as the Central Concept of Betting
A team's past ability to create quality chances is the expected number of goals that they should have produced. The expected number of goals in excess of the actual number of goals constitutes the "margin of safety". The margin is counted on to cushion the bettor against discomfiture in the event of a performance decline in the upcoming fixture. The soccer bettor does not expect the upcoming fixture to work out the same as in the past. If he were sure of that, the safety margin demanded might be small. The function of a safety margin is, in essence, that of rendering unnecessary an accurate estimate of the team's winning probability in the upcoming fixture. If the safety margin is sufficiently large, then it is enough to assume that the team's upcoming performance will not fall far below their expected goals in order for the bettor to feel sufficiently cushioned against bad luck. The safety margin is always dependent on the odds that the bettor accepts from the bookie. It will be large in certain odds, small at some lower odds, and negative when the odds is too low. However, even with a safety margin in the bettor's favour, he may lose his bet. For the margin guarantees only that he has a better chance of winning - not that loss is impossible. 
Theory of Diversification
There is a close logical connection between the concept of safety margin and the principle of diversification. One is correlative with the other. Even with a margin in the bettor’s favor, an individual bet may work out badly. But as the number of such commitments is increased the more certain does it become that the aggregate of the profits will exceed the aggregate of the losses. This point may be made more colorful by a reference to the arithmetic of roulette. If a man bets $1 on a single number, he is paid $35 profit when he wins—but the chances are 37 to 1 that he will lose. He has a “negative margin of safety.” In his case diversification is foolish. The more numbers he bets on, the smaller his chance of ending with a profit. If he regularly bets $1 on every number (including 0 and 00), he is certain to lose $2 on each turn of the wheel. But suppose the winner received $39 profit instead of $35. Then he would have a small but important margin of safety. Therefore, the more numbers he wagers on, the better his chance of gain. And he could be certain of winning $2 on every spin by simply betting $1 each on all the numbers. (Incidentally, the two examples given actually describe the respective positions of the player and proprietor of a wheel with a 0 and 00.)

AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
Bolametrix Quantitative Research
(Est. Oct 2014)

Team Ranked: #51 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 1,693,125 Total Members: 44
   Like     
seelangui
29-Dec 2023 Friday 10:17 AM (122 days ago)            #10
*Diamond Member*


Posts: 84185
Liked By: 58539
Joined: 30 May 11
Followers: 32



    

Tipsters
Championship:
AB$: -507,187.50
Ranked:
#2783

 
quote originally posted by Fahrenheit:
seelangui also rich, collect winnings daily, & famous in AB... pls take care of your mental health 




I see already no worries 
thanks 



see what you want to see believe all you see
My current Mission is keep wining until S_P 斗/close shop
use main & sub method unit 1 unit= $20:
Use main bet as base the rest side bet to add on to max win or more Name it Eye jackpot system 南神眼



betting records at
http://forums.asianbookie.com/viewmessages.cfm?Forum=45&Topic=2112557


AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
東方不敗
(Est. Nov 2013)

Total Members: 17
   Like     
seelangui
29-Dec 2023 Friday 11:57 AM (121 days ago)            #11
*Diamond Member*


Posts: 84185
Liked By: 58539
Joined: 30 May 11
Followers: 32



    

Tipsters
Championship:
AB$: -507,187.50
Ranked:
#2783

 
quote originally posted by Fahrenheit:
seelangui also rich, collect winnings daily, & famous in AB... pls take care of your mental health 




U nowadays use ai tools for
betting 
Is it hard to use



see what you want to see believe all you see
My current Mission is keep wining until S_P 斗/close shop
use main & sub method unit 1 unit= $20:
Use main bet as base the rest side bet to add on to max win or more Name it Eye jackpot system 南神眼



betting records at
http://forums.asianbookie.com/viewmessages.cfm?Forum=45&Topic=2112557


AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
東方不敗
(Est. Nov 2013)

Total Members: 17
   Like     
Jimmy Tan
29-Dec 2023 Friday 12:08 PM (121 days ago)            #12
*Gold Member*


Posts: 17416
Liked By: 10481
Joined: 01 Dec 06
Followers: 2



Tipsters
Championship:
AB$: 468,750
Ranked:
#2213

 
quote originally posted by Eleven Men:

May her soul rest in peace 😔

quote originally posted by seelangui:

Rip
rich & famous 
 




At least Bonnie Lai produced 4 dragon boys before her passing,
bon voyage bonnie.





bet within our means


   Like     
seelangui
29-Dec 2023 Friday 2:40 PM (121 days ago)            #13
*Diamond Member*


Posts: 84185
Liked By: 58539
Joined: 30 May 11
Followers: 32



    

Tipsters
Championship:
AB$: -507,187.50
Ranked:
#2783

 
quote originally posted by Jimmy Tan:



At least Bonnie Lai produced 4 dragon boys before her passing,
bon voyage bonnie.




Ok😋
life really very short 



see what you want to see believe all you see
My current Mission is keep wining until S_P 斗/close shop
use main & sub method unit 1 unit= $20:
Use main bet as base the rest side bet to add on to max win or more Name it Eye jackpot system 南神眼



betting records at
http://forums.asianbookie.com/viewmessages.cfm?Forum=45&Topic=2112557


AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
東方不敗
(Est. Nov 2013)

Total Members: 17
   Like     
LONGSTER
29-Dec 2023 Friday 2:51 PM (121 days ago)            #14
*Platinum Member*

Centennial Member


Posts: 100016
Liked By: 61179
Joined: 30 Jun 10
Followers: 3



Tipsters
Championship:
Player has
not started

 
quote originally posted by seelangui:

I see already no worries 
thanks



u also rich and famous across four seas
 




AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
BIG GUY's team
(Est. Jun 2021)

Team Ranked: #3 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 80,547,500 Total Members: 1291
   Like     
LONGSTER
29-Dec 2023 Friday 2:53 PM (121 days ago)            #15
*Platinum Member*

Centennial Member


Posts: 100016
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Joined: 30 Jun 10
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Tipsters
Championship:
Player has
not started

 
ex husband is asia fastest legs? muay thai champion?




AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
BIG GUY's team
(Est. Jun 2021)

Team Ranked: #3 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 80,547,500 Total Members: 1291
   Like     
seelangui
29-Dec 2023 Friday 3:00 PM (121 days ago)            #16
*Diamond Member*


Posts: 84185
Liked By: 58539
Joined: 30 May 11
Followers: 32



    

Tipsters
Championship:
AB$: -507,187.50
Ranked:
#2783

 
quote originally posted by LONGSTER:
u also rich and famous across four seas




😂四哥 very famous and rich 
kkj very strong 
Long life also😂



see what you want to see believe all you see
My current Mission is keep wining until S_P 斗/close shop
use main & sub method unit 1 unit= $20:
Use main bet as base the rest side bet to add on to max win or more Name it Eye jackpot system 南神眼



betting records at
http://forums.asianbookie.com/viewmessages.cfm?Forum=45&Topic=2112557


AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
東方不敗
(Est. Nov 2013)

Total Members: 17
   Like     
LONGSTER
29-Dec 2023 Friday 3:42 PM (121 days ago)            #17
*Platinum Member*

Centennial Member


Posts: 100016
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Joined: 30 Jun 10
Followers: 3



Tipsters
Championship:
Player has
not started

 
quote originally posted by seelangui:

😂四哥 very famous and rich 
kkj very strong 
Long life also😂




U know who is number 1




AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
BIG GUY's team
(Est. Jun 2021)

Team Ranked: #3 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 80,547,500 Total Members: 1291
   Like     
seelangui
29-Dec 2023 Friday 3:56 PM (121 days ago)            #18
*Diamond Member*


Posts: 84185
Liked By: 58539
Joined: 30 May 11
Followers: 32



    

Tipsters
Championship:
AB$: -507,187.50
Ranked:
#2783

 
quote originally posted by LONGSTER:

U know who is number 1




Mati already 
南神眼 I forget it name



see what you want to see believe all you see
My current Mission is keep wining until S_P 斗/close shop
use main & sub method unit 1 unit= $20:
Use main bet as base the rest side bet to add on to max win or more Name it Eye jackpot system 南神眼



betting records at
http://forums.asianbookie.com/viewmessages.cfm?Forum=45&Topic=2112557


AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
東方不敗
(Est. Nov 2013)

Total Members: 17
   Like     
Fahrenheit
29-Dec 2023 Friday 6:28 PM (121 days ago)            #19
*Diamond Member*


Posts: 51753
Liked By: 39337
Joined: 26 May 08
Followers: 58



    

Tipsters
Championship:
AB$: 901,562.50
Ranked:
#1352

 
quote originally posted by seelangui:

U nowadays use ai tools for
betting 
Is it hard to use


i'm not using AI, it's just normal excel spreadsheet

 




"Margin of Safety" as the Central Concept of Betting
A team's past ability to create quality chances is the expected number of goals that they should have produced. The expected number of goals in excess of the actual number of goals constitutes the "margin of safety". The margin is counted on to cushion the bettor against discomfiture in the event of a performance decline in the upcoming fixture. The soccer bettor does not expect the upcoming fixture to work out the same as in the past. If he were sure of that, the safety margin demanded might be small. The function of a safety margin is, in essence, that of rendering unnecessary an accurate estimate of the team's winning probability in the upcoming fixture. If the safety margin is sufficiently large, then it is enough to assume that the team's upcoming performance will not fall far below their expected goals in order for the bettor to feel sufficiently cushioned against bad luck. The safety margin is always dependent on the odds that the bettor accepts from the bookie. It will be large in certain odds, small at some lower odds, and negative when the odds is too low. However, even with a safety margin in the bettor's favour, he may lose his bet. For the margin guarantees only that he has a better chance of winning - not that loss is impossible. 
Theory of Diversification
There is a close logical connection between the concept of safety margin and the principle of diversification. One is correlative with the other. Even with a margin in the bettor’s favor, an individual bet may work out badly. But as the number of such commitments is increased the more certain does it become that the aggregate of the profits will exceed the aggregate of the losses. This point may be made more colorful by a reference to the arithmetic of roulette. If a man bets $1 on a single number, he is paid $35 profit when he wins—but the chances are 37 to 1 that he will lose. He has a “negative margin of safety.” In his case diversification is foolish. The more numbers he bets on, the smaller his chance of ending with a profit. If he regularly bets $1 on every number (including 0 and 00), he is certain to lose $2 on each turn of the wheel. But suppose the winner received $39 profit instead of $35. Then he would have a small but important margin of safety. Therefore, the more numbers he wagers on, the better his chance of gain. And he could be certain of winning $2 on every spin by simply betting $1 each on all the numbers. (Incidentally, the two examples given actually describe the respective positions of the player and proprietor of a wheel with a 0 and 00.)

AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
Bolametrix Quantitative Research
(Est. Oct 2014)

Team Ranked: #51 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 1,693,125 Total Members: 44
   Like     
seelangui
29-Dec 2023 Friday 6:31 PM (121 days ago)            #20
*Diamond Member*


Posts: 84185
Liked By: 58539
Joined: 30 May 11
Followers: 32



    

Tipsters
Championship:
AB$: -507,187.50
Ranked:
#2783

 
quote originally posted by Fahrenheit:
i'm not using AI, it's just normal excel spreadsheet




Can use it on phone 😋
I wanted to do a eyes jackpot system bet
For new year eve 😂
My it no so good also



see what you want to see believe all you see
My current Mission is keep wining until S_P 斗/close shop
use main & sub method unit 1 unit= $20:
Use main bet as base the rest side bet to add on to max win or more Name it Eye jackpot system 南神眼



betting records at
http://forums.asianbookie.com/viewmessages.cfm?Forum=45&Topic=2112557


AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
東方不敗
(Est. Nov 2013)

Total Members: 17
   Like     
Fahrenheit
29-Dec 2023 Friday 6:53 PM (121 days ago)            #21
*Diamond Member*


Posts: 51753
Liked By: 39337
Joined: 26 May 08
Followers: 58



    

Tipsters
Championship:
AB$: 901,562.50
Ranked:
#1352

 
quote originally posted by seelangui:

Can use it on phone 😋
I wanted to do a eyes jackpot system bet
For new year eve 😂
My it no so good also


what is the system based on? how you select the bet?

 




"Margin of Safety" as the Central Concept of Betting
A team's past ability to create quality chances is the expected number of goals that they should have produced. The expected number of goals in excess of the actual number of goals constitutes the "margin of safety". The margin is counted on to cushion the bettor against discomfiture in the event of a performance decline in the upcoming fixture. The soccer bettor does not expect the upcoming fixture to work out the same as in the past. If he were sure of that, the safety margin demanded might be small. The function of a safety margin is, in essence, that of rendering unnecessary an accurate estimate of the team's winning probability in the upcoming fixture. If the safety margin is sufficiently large, then it is enough to assume that the team's upcoming performance will not fall far below their expected goals in order for the bettor to feel sufficiently cushioned against bad luck. The safety margin is always dependent on the odds that the bettor accepts from the bookie. It will be large in certain odds, small at some lower odds, and negative when the odds is too low. However, even with a safety margin in the bettor's favour, he may lose his bet. For the margin guarantees only that he has a better chance of winning - not that loss is impossible. 
Theory of Diversification
There is a close logical connection between the concept of safety margin and the principle of diversification. One is correlative with the other. Even with a margin in the bettor’s favor, an individual bet may work out badly. But as the number of such commitments is increased the more certain does it become that the aggregate of the profits will exceed the aggregate of the losses. This point may be made more colorful by a reference to the arithmetic of roulette. If a man bets $1 on a single number, he is paid $35 profit when he wins—but the chances are 37 to 1 that he will lose. He has a “negative margin of safety.” In his case diversification is foolish. The more numbers he bets on, the smaller his chance of ending with a profit. If he regularly bets $1 on every number (including 0 and 00), he is certain to lose $2 on each turn of the wheel. But suppose the winner received $39 profit instead of $35. Then he would have a small but important margin of safety. Therefore, the more numbers he wagers on, the better his chance of gain. And he could be certain of winning $2 on every spin by simply betting $1 each on all the numbers. (Incidentally, the two examples given actually describe the respective positions of the player and proprietor of a wheel with a 0 and 00.)

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seelangui
29-Dec 2023 Friday 6:58 PM (121 days ago)            #22
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quote originally posted by Fahrenheit:
what is the system based on? how you select the bet?




No system 
just bet types and selection by me only😂
I just want to see got any easier way 
to Post out as I had to type out
Bet type 1 by 1 😂
You got see before right
Got any easier way 
Like spread sheet
New year eve special bets😂



see what you want to see believe all you see
My current Mission is keep wining until S_P 斗/close shop
use main & sub method unit 1 unit= $20:
Use main bet as base the rest side bet to add on to max win or more Name it Eye jackpot system 南神眼



betting records at
http://forums.asianbookie.com/viewmessages.cfm?Forum=45&Topic=2112557


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(Est. Nov 2013)

Total Members: 17
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Fahrenheit
29-Dec 2023 Friday 7:01 PM (121 days ago)            #23
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quote originally posted by seelangui:

No system 
just bet types and selection by me only😂
I just want to see got any easier way 
to Post out as I had to type out
Bet type 1 by 1 😂
You got see before right
Got any easier way 
Like spread sheet
New year eve special bets😂



ya, need to create spreadsheet first, after that it becomes easier. just need to copy and paste
 




"Margin of Safety" as the Central Concept of Betting
A team's past ability to create quality chances is the expected number of goals that they should have produced. The expected number of goals in excess of the actual number of goals constitutes the "margin of safety". The margin is counted on to cushion the bettor against discomfiture in the event of a performance decline in the upcoming fixture. The soccer bettor does not expect the upcoming fixture to work out the same as in the past. If he were sure of that, the safety margin demanded might be small. The function of a safety margin is, in essence, that of rendering unnecessary an accurate estimate of the team's winning probability in the upcoming fixture. If the safety margin is sufficiently large, then it is enough to assume that the team's upcoming performance will not fall far below their expected goals in order for the bettor to feel sufficiently cushioned against bad luck. The safety margin is always dependent on the odds that the bettor accepts from the bookie. It will be large in certain odds, small at some lower odds, and negative when the odds is too low. However, even with a safety margin in the bettor's favour, he may lose his bet. For the margin guarantees only that he has a better chance of winning - not that loss is impossible. 
Theory of Diversification
There is a close logical connection between the concept of safety margin and the principle of diversification. One is correlative with the other. Even with a margin in the bettor’s favor, an individual bet may work out badly. But as the number of such commitments is increased the more certain does it become that the aggregate of the profits will exceed the aggregate of the losses. This point may be made more colorful by a reference to the arithmetic of roulette. If a man bets $1 on a single number, he is paid $35 profit when he wins—but the chances are 37 to 1 that he will lose. He has a “negative margin of safety.” In his case diversification is foolish. The more numbers he bets on, the smaller his chance of ending with a profit. If he regularly bets $1 on every number (including 0 and 00), he is certain to lose $2 on each turn of the wheel. But suppose the winner received $39 profit instead of $35. Then he would have a small but important margin of safety. Therefore, the more numbers he wagers on, the better his chance of gain. And he could be certain of winning $2 on every spin by simply betting $1 each on all the numbers. (Incidentally, the two examples given actually describe the respective positions of the player and proprietor of a wheel with a 0 and 00.)

AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
Bolametrix Quantitative Research
(Est. Oct 2014)

Team Ranked: #51 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 1,693,125 Total Members: 44
   Like     
seelangui
29-Dec 2023 Friday 7:07 PM (121 days ago)            #24
*Diamond Member*


Posts: 84185
Liked By: 58539
Joined: 30 May 11
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Tipsters
Championship:
AB$: -507,187.50
Ranked:
#2783

 
quote originally posted by Fahrenheit:
ya, need to create spreadsheet first, after that it becomes easier. just need to copy and paste




Ok I try 1st😂
New year eve special bet
 



see what you want to see believe all you see
My current Mission is keep wining until S_P 斗/close shop
use main & sub method unit 1 unit= $20:
Use main bet as base the rest side bet to add on to max win or more Name it Eye jackpot system 南神眼



betting records at
http://forums.asianbookie.com/viewmessages.cfm?Forum=45&Topic=2112557


AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
東方不敗
(Est. Nov 2013)

Total Members: 17
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justin11sg
29-Dec 2023 Friday 10:20 PM (121 days ago)            #25
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This message was edited by justin11sg on 29-Dec-2023 at 10:21 PM




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AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
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Team Ranked: #51 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 1,693,125 Total Members: 44
 
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