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Posted By Topic: 3 Tier Handicaps Update       - Views: 3409
villapark36
21-May 2012 Monday 10:55 PM (4359 days ago)               #1
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After the popular leagues finished and got into a summer break, we need to bet on domestic leagues and cups to earn some money. As requested by some bros, here are the 3 Tier Handicaps of leagues that still got games running these days:

Europe
2011-2012 Austria Erste Division 2.5, 2.75, 3
2011-2012 Azerbaijan Premier 2, 2.25, 2.5
2012 Belarus Premier League 2, 2.25, 2.5
2011-2012 Danish SAS Ligaen 2.5, 2.75, 3
2012 Estonia Meistri Liiga 2.75, 3, 3.25
2012 Finland Veikkausliga 2.25, 2.5, 2.75
2011-2012 French Ligue 1 2, 2.25, 2.5
2011-2012 French Division 2 2, 2.25, 2.5
2011-2012 Hungary NB I 2.5, 2.75, 3
2012 Ireland Premier League 2, 2.25, 2.5
2012 Iceland Premier Division (2.75, 3, 3.25)
2012 Kazakhstan Super League2.25, 2.5, 2.75
2011-2012 Netherlands 1 2.5, 2.75, 3
2011-2012 Netherlands 2 2.75, 3, 3.25
2012 Norwegian Tippeligaen 2.5, 2.75, 3
2012 Norway Adeccoligaen 2.75, 3, 3.25
2011-2012 Rumania Liga I 2, 2.25, 2.5
2011-2012 Russia Premier League 2, 2.25, 2.5
2011-2012 Scottish Premier 2.25, 2.5, 2.75
2011-2012 Serbia 1.Liga 2, 2.25, 2.5
2011-2012 Slovenia 1.Liga 2.25, 2.5 , 2.75
2012 Swedish Allsvenskanliga 2, 2.25, 2.5
2012 Sweden Superettan 2, 2.25, 2.5
2011-2012 Switzerland 2 2.75, 3, 3.25
2011-2012 Ukraine Division 2 2, 2.25, 2.5

America
2011-2012 Bolivia 2.5, 2.75, 3
2011 Brazil Serie A 2.25, 2.5, 2.75
2012 Brasileiro Serie B 2.25, 2.5, 2.75
2012 Canadian Premier Soccer (2.75, 3, 3.25)
2012 Chile 2.5, 2.75, 3
2012 Colombiano-Apertura 2, 2.25, 2.5
2011-2012 Costa Rica 2.25, 2.5, 2.75
2012 Ecuador 2, 2.25, 2.5
2011-2012 Peru 2, 2.25, 2.5
2011-2012 Uruguay 2.25, 2.5, 2.75
2012 USA Major Soccer 2, 2.25, 2.5
2011-2012 Venezuela 2, 2.25, 2.5

Asia
2011-2012 Bahrain 2.5, 2.75, 3
2011-2012 Iran League 2, 2.25, 2.5
2012 Japanese J League 2.25, 2.5, 2.75
2012 Japanese J League 2 2, 2.25, 2.5
2012 Korea K League 2.25, 2.5, 2.75
2012 Korea National League 2.25, 2.5, 2.75
2011-2012 Kuwait League 2.25, 2.5, 2.75
2012 Malaysia Super League 2.25, 2.5, 2.75
2011-2012 Omani League 2, 2.25, 2.5
2011-2012 Saudi Arabia 2.5, 2.75, 3
2011-2012 UAE 2.75, 3, 3.25
2012 Uzbekistan Oliy Liga 2.25, 2.5, 2.75
2011-2012 Yemen League 1 1.75, 2, 2.25

Africa
2011-2012 South Africa 2, 2.25, 2.5




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bigArsenalfan
22-May 2012 Tuesday 8:06 PM (4358 days ago)            #2
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Bro, thanks for these 3 tiers

Just a few question...

1. "France Division" refers to Ligue 2 or Nacional?

2. J League 1 and 2 in the order you listed right?



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villapark36
22-May 2012 Tuesday 9:19 PM (4358 days ago)            #3
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quote originally posted by bigArsenalfan:

Bro, thanks for these 3 tiers



Just a few question...



1. "France Division" refers to Ligue 2 or Nacional?



2. J League 1 and 2 in the order you listed right?





Hehe. I wrote French 2 (Ligue 2) and J League 2, but it's not easy to read with all this 2s in one line Wink




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naga288
22-May 2012 Tuesday 11:27 PM (4358 days ago)            #4
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bro villapark, is this 3 Tier will change for next season or still same like this?

if 3 Tier will change for every season, how do we know for every league of 3 Tier handicap?

thanks bro..




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villapark36
23-May 2012 Wednesday 12:27 AM (4358 days ago)            #5
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When a new season starts in August for most leagues, we should wait the first two rounds of each league and see, what the bookies offer. Could be small changes. New players and trainers in each club. Single teams could play more forward or now be better in defence. Depends on trainers and their systems. New teams have promoted to each league and we have to see how good they are (Do the favourites smash them or do they have a chance?)
I think their will be small changes but most of the 3 Tiers will remain.

I can tell you more about when the new seasons start.
Will keep the 3 Tiers updated for you guys.



This message was edited by villapark36 on 23-May-2012 @ 12:29 AM




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BogdanT
23-May 2012 Wednesday 3:52 AM (4357 days ago)            #6
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Thank you for sharing this, bro!




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villapark36
23-May 2012 Wednesday 3:57 AM (4357 days ago)            #7
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quote originally posted by BogdanT:

Thank you for sharing this, bro!




Thanks for joing the team, bro! Smile Smile Wink




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myhousing88
23-May 2012 Wednesday 3:54 PM (4357 days ago)            #8
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Villapark bro,

How can we get the 3 Tier handicap ? where can we download it ??

thanks



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villapark36
23-May 2012 Wednesday 5:04 PM (4357 days ago)            #9
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Nowhere. You have to collect the goallines the bookies offer for every league every week and write them down. That's how I got mine. Took me quite some time. You can request a 3 Tier in here and I may help you.




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myhousing88
23-May 2012 Wednesday 6:20 PM (4357 days ago)            #10
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Thanks Villapark bro, perhaps u could lead us to find out how to get this tier from bookies



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naga288
23-May 2012 Wednesday 9:06 PM (4357 days ago)            #11
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bro villapark, what is 3 Tier for Bulgaria A PFG ? 2.75 or 3 ?

thanks




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Black
29-Oct 2012 Monday 4:46 PM (4198 days ago)            #12
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Bro any one know 3 tier for indian league



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BogdanT
05-Jan 2013 Saturday 2:47 AM (4131 days ago)            #13
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Do you guys have any updates on the 3 Tiers for ongoing leagues? I'm referring here to:

Spanish Primera
Spanish Segunda
England Premier League
England Championship
England League 1
England League 2
French Ligue 1
French Ligue 2
Belgian Jupiler League
Belgian Belgacom League
Israel First League
Italian Serie A
Italian Serie B
Australian A League
Cyprus First League
Greece Super League
Morocco First League
Northern Ireland Premiership
Portugal First League
Portugal Second League
Mexico Primera
Scotland Premier League
Scotland 1st Division
Scotland 2nd Division
Scotland 3rd Division
Wales Premier League

I have tried to calculate them with the following example:

Spanish Primera
17 rounds
485 goals scored
10 matches/round

This means a total of ~ 2.85 goals per match (485 divided by 17 and then divided again by 10).

So I assumed that the 3 Tier for Spanish Primera is 2.5, 2.75, 3. For teams like Barcelona or Real, it is higher. Is this calculation OK? If yes, I can make the calculations and update all the leagues. If there's a different way to calculate this, if bro Klavier or bro Villapark would share the method, I will gladly update all the leagues.

This update would be very good since bro Klavier's methods brought many people here nice money and it would be great if we can reanimate all the lessons and make profits in the detriment of the bookies.




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KlavierJoenessGavin
05-Jan 2013 Saturday 4:26 AM (4130 days ago)            #14
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quote originally posted by BogdanT:

Do you guys have any updates on the 3 Tiers for ongoing leagues? I'm referring here to:

Spanish Primera
Spanish Segunda
England Premier League
England Championship
England League 1
England League 2
French Ligue 1
French Ligue 2
Belgian Jupiler League
Belgian Belgacom League
Israel First League
Italian Serie A
Italian Serie B
Australian A League
Cyprus First League
Greece Super League
Morocco First League
Northern Ireland Premiership
Portugal First League
Portugal Second League
Mexico Primera
Scotland Premier League
Scotland 1st Division
Scotland 2nd Division
Scotland 3rd Division
Wales Premier League

I have tried to calculate them with the following example:

Spanish Primera
17 rounds
485 goals scored
10 matches/round

This means a total of ~ 2.85 goals per match (485 divided by 17 and then divided again by 10).

So I assumed that the 3 Tier for Spanish Primera is 2.5, 2.75, 3. For teams like Barcelona or Real, it is higher. Is this calculation OK? If yes, I can make the calculations and update all the leagues. If there's a different way to calculate this, if bro Klavier or bro Villapark would share the method, I will gladly update all the leagues.

This update would be very good since bro Klavier's methods brought many people here nice money and it would be great if we can reanimate all the lessons and make profits in the detriment of the bookies.




different teams have different 3 tier.

i do not really have the calculations to how the total goal handicap is derived.

i suspect is the number of goals scored and concede in the stadium for the past 3 years.

teams like stoke is 2, 2.25, 2.5 while liverpool is 2.25, 2.5, 2.75 and Man Utd is 2.5, 2.75, 3

western sydney and perth glory is 2, 2.25, 2.5 while brisbane melbourne victory is 2.5, 2.75, 3.

u must take notice on the total goal handicap odds set by bookies throughout the season to understand the 3 tiers for each club.



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BogdanT
05-Jan 2013 Saturday 4:40 AM (4130 days ago)            #15
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quote originally posted by KlavierJoenessGavin:

different teams have different 3 tier.

i do not really have the calculations to how the total goal handicap is derived.

i suspect is the number of goals scored and concede in the stadium for the past 3 years.

teams like stoke is 2, 2.25, 2.5 while liverpool is 2.25, 2.5, 2.75 and Man Utd is 2.5, 2.75, 3

western sydney and perth glory is 2, 2.25, 2.5 while brisbane melbourne victory is 2.5, 2.75, 3.

u must take notice on the total goal handicap odds set by bookies throughout the season to understand the 3 tiers for each club.




Thanks for the input! And how do you set the 3 Tier for the leagues in general? I mean just like you shared with us last season in the dedicated threads.

If you already have them available, even better.

Thank you! Wink




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KlavierJoenessGavin
05-Jan 2013 Saturday 4:55 AM (4130 days ago)            #16
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quote originally posted by BogdanT:

Thanks for the input! And how do you set the 3 Tier for the leagues in general? I mean just like you shared with us last season in the dedicated threads.

If you already have them available, even better.

Thank you!




like i mentioned above. it is through experience. i take notes for the total goal handicap odds given for each team at home and from there, i just take the lowest total goal handicap odds opened so far and highest total goal handicap odds opened so far to derive the 3 tiers.



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BogdanT
05-Jan 2013 Saturday 6:10 AM (4130 days ago)            #17
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quote originally posted by KlavierJoenessGavin:

like i mentioned above. it is through experience. i take notes for the total goal handicap odds given for each team at home and from there, i just take the lowest total goal handicap odds opened so far and highest total goal handicap odds opened so far to derive the 3 tiers.




And can you please share the current 3 Tiers for some of the leagues above?

Thank you in advance!




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KlavierJoenessGavin
05-Jan 2013 Saturday 8:41 PM (4130 days ago)            #18
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quote originally posted by BogdanT:

And can you please share the current 3 Tiers for some of the leagues above?

Thank you in advance!




what i can provide u is the generic 3 tiers for the leagues. however, i must still stress the importance of 3 tier differs from each team to each team.

gimme some time. kind of busy betting on weekends.



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BogdanT
06-Jan 2013 Sunday 1:17 AM (4130 days ago)            #19
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quote originally posted by KlavierJoenessGavin:

what i can provide u is the generic 3 tiers for the leagues. however, i must still stress the importance of 3 tier differs from each team to each team.

gimme some time. kind of busy betting on weekends.



OK, no pressure. Whenever you have the time! Smile

Thank you very much for you help!

Best of luck with all your bets!




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BogdanT
23-Jan 2013 Wednesday 4:38 AM (4112 days ago)            #20
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I will post some 3 Tiers that I have calculated for a few of the above leagues, hope they are OK.

French Ligue 1 (2, 2.25, 2.5)
French Ligue 2 (2, 2.25, 2.5)
Ireland Premier League (2.25, 2.5, 2.75)
Netherlands 1 (2.25, 2.5, 2.75)
Netherlands 2 (2.5, 2.75, 3)
Scottish Premier (2.25, 2.5, 2.75)
Scottish 1st Division (2.5, 2.75, 3)
Scottish 2nd Division (2.25, 2.5, 2.75)
Scottish 3rd Division (2.25, 2.5, 2.75)
Italian Serie A (2.25, 2.5, 2.75)
Italian Serie B (2, 2.25, 2.5)
English Premier League (2.5 2.75, 3)
English Championship (2.25, 2.5, 2.75)
English League One (2.25, 2.5, 2.75)
English League Two (2.25, 2.5, 2.75)
Spanish Primera (2.25, 2.5, 2.75)
Spanish Segunda (2.5, 2.75, 3)
Portugal First League (2, 2.25, 2.5)
Portugal Second League (2, 2.25, 2.5)
Belgian Jupiler League (2.25, 2.5, 2.75)
Belgian Belgacom League (2.25, 2.5, 2.75)
Greek First League (1.5, 1.75, 2)
Greek Football League (1.5, 1.75, 2)
Israel First League (2, 2.25, 2.5)

Best of luck to everybody!




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villapark36
25-Jan 2013 Friday 4:16 AM (4110 days ago)            #21
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Hey my friends. Last few month showed me, that there are no 3 tiers. We should forget about this method!




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KlavierJoenessGavin
25-Jan 2013 Friday 5:50 AM (4110 days ago)            #22
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quote originally posted by villapark36:

Hey my friends. Last few month showed me, that there are no 3 tiers. We should forget about this method!




what happened?

this method of reasoning is also useful in betting basketball as well.

btw, u should be using this method to bet on handicaps rather than total goal.

This message was edited by KlavierJoenessGavin on 25-Jan-2013 @ 5:51 AM



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BogdanT
26-Jan 2013 Saturday 5:12 AM (4109 days ago)            #23
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Bro Klavier, can you please share some knowledge on how to apply this formula in Basketball?




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KlavierJoenessGavin
27-Jan 2013 Sunday 3:36 PM (4108 days ago)            #24
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quote originally posted by BogdanT:

Bro Klavier, can you please share some knowledge on how to apply this formula in Basketball?




if the total points opened is 10-15 points less than the home team points per game, it is always advisable to give ball if the handicap is 5 or more.

 

For e.g, the points per game average for Atlanta Hawks is 198. Yesterday the opening odds for Atlanta Hawks vs Boston is

-5 handicap and 184 for total points. Generally, give ball is the better choice and the result was a 12 points win for Hawks.

 

Miami Heats points per game at home is 203. Yesterday, the opening odds is -9.5 handicap and 193 for total points.

Heats won by more than 13 points.



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BogdanT
28-Jan 2013 Monday 5:08 PM (4107 days ago)            #25
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quote originally posted by KlavierJoenessGavin:





if the total points opened is 10-15 points less than the home team points per game, it is always advisable to give ball if the handicap is 5 or more.



 



For e.g, the points per game average for Atlanta Hawks is 198. Yesterday the opening odds for Atlanta Hawks vs Boston is



-5 handicap and 184 for total points. Generally, give ball is the better choice and the result was a 12 points win for Hawks.



 



Miami Heats points per game at home is 203. Yesterday, the opening odds is -9.5 handicap and 193 for total points.



Heats won by more than 13 points.





Bro, what if it is the other way around? The line opened by bookies for total goals is 10 points bigger than the calculated one? (total points/game for the Home team)?




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KlavierJoenessGavin
28-Jan 2013 Monday 5:25 PM (4107 days ago)            #26
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quote originally posted by BogdanT:




Bro, what if it is the other way around? The line opened by bookies for total goals is 10 points bigger than the calculated one? (total points/game for the Home team)?
 



if the handicap is lower than 5, u can try to eat the handicap.
 



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BogdanT
29-Jan 2013 Tuesday 3:34 AM (4106 days ago)            #27
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Bro, these two hints that you have given me are part of the formula that you applied in the last NBA season?

Are there any other patterns I should follow? I'm asking because I could not find any match that fits the criteria so far.

Thank you!




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KlavierJoenessGavin
29-Jan 2013 Tuesday 6:56 AM (4106 days ago)            #28
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quote originally posted by BogdanT:

Bro, these two hints that you have given me are part of the formula that you applied in the last NBA season?

Are there any other patterns I should follow? I'm asking because I could not find any match that fits the criteria so far.

Thank you!


 

10:00
! Live
Denver Nuggets
Indiana Pacers
  5.50 0.95   194.50 o 1.14   o 0.94   3.0 0.94   98.50 o 1.11   o 0.94    
    0.95     u 0.75   e 0.94     0.94     u 0.76   e 0.94  
10:00
! Live
Denver Nuggets
Indiana Pacers
  6.0 1.02   195.0 o 1.17                              
    0.88     u 0.73      


 



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