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Posted By Topic: Personal Secret Formula For NBA Odds Derivation       - Views: 3211
KlavierJoenessGavin
09-May 2012 Wednesday 3:22 PM (4371 days ago)               #1
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Since there are some demands for NBA odds reading, I wanna say I do have personally a method to derive the handicaps of NBA odds.

I think it is not the time to release yet but I would post the formula results of odds before the bet is offered at bookmakers.

The tip on betting using my formula is to bet on the side which bookies are heavily favouring. I will explain in the later part of this lesson.

First we focus on games that is not offered in bookmakers yet.

Thursday, May 10
MATCHUP TIME (ET) AWAY TV HOME TV NAT TV RESOURCES
Chicago at Philadelphia
Game 6 - 76ers lead 3-2
7:00 PM Comcast Sports Chicago COMCAST NBATV Tickets | Venue 
Atlanta at Boston
Game 6 - Celtics lead 3-2
8:00 PM     TNT Tickets | Venue 
LA Lakers at Denver
Game 6 - Lakers lead 3-2
10:30 PM   Altitude Sports TNT Tickets | Venue

 



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KlavierJoenessGavin
09-May 2012 Wednesday 3:33 PM (4371 days ago)            #2
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Predictions For NBA Playoff Odds For May 10 Thursday:

 

76ers give 5.5

TG 178.5

 

Boston give 12

TG 183

 

Den 5.5

TG 184.5

 

We will see the outcome of the odds first. Then I will explain the betting strategy.

This message was edited by KlavierJoenessGavin on 09-May-2012 @ 3:34 PM



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KlavierJoenessGavin
10-May 2012 Thursday 1:49 PM (4370 days ago)            #3
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Odds are out:

NBA (PLAYOFF)
07:00
! Live
Philadelphia 76ers
Chicago Bulls
  3.0 0.91   168.50 o 0.92   o 0.94                 o 0.94    
    0.97     u 0.94   e 0.94                 e 0.94  

Handicap = 2.5 ball difference from predictions

TG = 10 points difference

Since bookies are moderately favouring under, this match we shall bet under.

08:00
! Live
Boston Celtics
Atlanta Hawks
  6.50 0.94   173.50 o 0.93   o 0.94                 o 0.94    
    0.94     u 0.93   e 0.94                 e 0.94  

Handicap = 5.5 ball difference

TG = 9.5 points difference

Since bookies are more incline to favour under, this match we shall bet under too.

10:30
! Live
Denver Nuggets
LA Lakers
  1.50 0.94   197.0 o 0.93   o 0.94                 o 0.94    
    0.94     u 0.93   e 0.94                 e 0.94  

Handicap = 4 ball difference

TG = 13.5 points difference

We shall whack on over since bookies are strongly favouring over.



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星星知我心
10-May 2012 Thursday 3:43 PM (4370 days ago)            #4
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are your predictions for NBA also based on Poisson model as well?
... i feel like i'm retaking stats again.. haha...




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星星知我心
10-May 2012 Thursday 3:49 PM (4370 days ago)            #5
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actually i'm very incline to learn more odds on S league. Nothing personal, but just want to buy from S pools and win from S pools. oh, i think that's personal...




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KlavierJoenessGavin
10-May 2012 Thursday 6:10 PM (4370 days ago)            #6
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quote originally posted by 星星知我心:

are your predictions for NBA also based on Poisson model as well?
... i feel like i'm retaking stats again.. haha...


no. poisson model is used mainly for in running for sports.

the predictions are based mainly using past stats and getting the medians. i find it is quite accurate most of the time as compared to the odds offered by bookies.

if the prediction is not accurate, it is not because the formula dun work, it is because the odds are made to tempt punters to bet on the perceived easy to win bet.

 



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ray ray
11-May 2012 Friday 9:56 AM (4369 days ago)            #7
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hi bro i got to say, i love ur nba formula thx u v much



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ray ray
11-May 2012 Friday 1:18 PM (4369 days ago)            #8
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jackpot! congratz bro ok now u can teach us this method bro? Smile



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KlavierJoenessGavin
11-May 2012 Friday 1:19 PM (4369 days ago)            #9
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Won all. Will post predictions n picks for the next game later.



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ray ray
11-May 2012 Friday 1:23 PM (4369 days ago)            #10
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quote originally posted by KlavierJoenessGavin:

Won all. Will post predictions n picks for the next game later.



next game nba or other basketball bro?



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星星知我心
11-May 2012 Friday 1:50 PM (4369 days ago)            #11
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i think it's NBA. well, good luck for the long run.




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KlavierJoenessGavin
11-May 2012 Friday 3:18 PM (4369 days ago)            #12
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Odds not out at sbo.

Predictions:

Clippers give 8.5
TG 193

Boston give 14
TG 170

Lakers give 6
TG 192.5



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KlavierJoenessGavin
11-May 2012 Friday 3:19 PM (4369 days ago)            #13
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quote originally posted by 星星知我心:

i think it's NBA. well, good luck for the long run.




yes only NBA. I do not know where to find data for past head to head results between 2 non NBA basketball teams.



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星星知我心
11-May 2012 Friday 4:45 PM (4369 days ago)            #14
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My opinion, no need to really go and source other non-NBA, i would say... after all, there are already so many matches on board.

we will hold hands and see the odds for upcoming NBA matches.




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ray ray
12-May 2012 Saturday 1:52 AM (4369 days ago)            #15
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cliper 178.5 bro odd out le



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KlavierJoenessGavin
12-May 2012 Saturday 4:27 AM (4369 days ago)            #16
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NBA (PLAYOFF)
09:00
! Live
LA Clippers
Memphis Grizzlies
    0.94   178.50 o 0.94   o 0.94     0.95   89.0 o 0.93   o 0.94    
  2.0 0.96     u 0.94   e 0.94   1.0 0.93     u 0.93   e 0.94  

 

Handicap = 10.5 difference

TG = 14.5 difference.

 

Bookie favouring Under and Memphis to win clearly!

 

U can choose under or give. Personally I prefer to give. I never like betting under since given another option to give. But seems like under is the stronger favourites. U decide.:



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KlavierJoenessGavin
12-May 2012 Saturday 2:02 PM (4368 days ago)            #17
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quote originally posted by KlavierJoenessGavin:































































NBA (PLAYOFF)

09:00
! Live

LA Clippers
Memphis Grizzlies

 

 

0.94

 

178.50

o

0.94

 

o

0.94

 

 

0.95

 

89.0

o

0.93

 

o

0.94

 

 

 

2.0

0.96

 

 

u

0.94

 

e

0.94

 

1.0

0.93

 

 

u

0.93

 

e

0.94

 


 



Handicap = 10.5 difference



TG = 14.5 difference.



 



Bookie favouring Under and Memphis to win clearly!



 



U can choose under or give. Personally I prefer to give. I never like betting under since given another option to give. But seems like under is the stronger favourites. U decide.:





FT 90-88. -2 bo lai but under 178.5. BOOKIES ZHUN AGAIN! Evil Grin



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KlavierJoenessGavin
12-May 2012 Saturday 2:23 PM (4368 days ago)            #18
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quote originally posted by KlavierJoenessGavin:

Odds not out at sbo.

Predictions:

Clippers give 8.5
TG 193

Boston give 14
TG 170

Lakers give 6
TG 192.5

 

08:00
! Live
Boston Celtics
Philadelphia 76ers
  5.0 0.95   170.0 o 0.96   o 0.94                 o 0.94    
    0.93     u 0.90   e 0.94                 e 0.94  
10:30
! Live
LA Lakers
Denver Nuggets
  5.50 0.93   196.0 o 0.94   o 0.94                 o 0.94    
    0.95     u 0.92   e 0.94                 e 0.94  

Boston Handicap: 9 ball difference

TG Same

 

Looks like bookies moderately favour 76ers not to lose more than 5 balls while TG not favouring over or under. Anything less than 10 pts or ball difference considered average to me.

 

Lakers Handicap: 0.5 ball difference

TG 3.5 points difference.

 

Both differences looked negligible. But slightly more favoured to clear over than to eat ball. Still it is no clear favourites to take any sides. Best advised to skip.
 



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ray ray
13-May 2012 Sunday 1:11 PM (4367 days ago)            #19
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wow skip??? sure or not bro? u skipping?!

in nba ur twin bother post confident bet n here post advisable to skip.. i am confused n amazed anw congratz! amazing winssss!

This message was edited by ray ray on 13-May-2012 @ 1:13 PM



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KlavierJoenessGavin
13-May 2012 Sunday 1:26 PM (4367 days ago)            #20
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quote originally posted by ray ray:

wow skip??? sure or not bro? u skipping?!

in nba ur twin bother post confident bet n here post advisable to skip.. i am confused n amazed anw congratz! amazing winssss!This message was edited by ray ray on 13-May-2012 @ 1:13 PM




I advise u guys to skip doesnt mean i wont be betting. Evil Grin

I want u guys to learn the correct strategy.

small bet only nothing much. anyway lost on that bet.



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ray ray
13-May 2012 Sunday 1:28 PM (4367 days ago)            #21
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quote originally posted by KlavierJoenessGavin:

I advise u guys to skip doesnt mean i wont be betting.

I want u guys to learn the correct strategy.

small bet only nothing much. anyway lost on that bet.




well said Smile u always perfect reason for all ur methods, kudos mr confident pick !



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KlavierJoenessGavin
14-May 2012 Monday 2:06 AM (4367 days ago)            #22
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Late late late. Overslept.

 

Predictions:

Mem 9.5

TG 187.5

 

Heats 9.5

TG 199.5

 

Odds:

Mem -7

TG 179.5

 

Heats -8.5

TG 189

 

Verdict Both Under.

 



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星星知我心
14-May 2012 Monday 6:21 PM (4366 days ago)            #23
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wow both. great analysis.

how's the pay package coming along? hope you manage to get what you want.


quote originally posted by KlavierJoenessGavin:

Late late late. Overslept.



 



Predictions:



Mem 9.5



TG 187.5



 



Heats 9.5



TG 199.5



 



Odds:



Mem -7



TG 179.5



 



Heats -8.5



TG 189



 



Verdict Both Under.



 








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KlavierJoenessGavin
14-May 2012 Monday 6:57 PM (4366 days ago)            #24
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quote originally posted by 星星知我心:

wow both. great analysis.

how's the pay package coming along? hope you manage to get what you want.





 

wat pay package? job? ya quite good. i have up to tomorrow to confirm my job.


 



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KlavierJoenessGavin
14-May 2012 Monday 7:06 PM (4366 days ago)            #25
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Predictions For Tomorrow NBA game:

Boston 14.5

TG 170.5

 

Oklahoma 9

TG 188

 

Odds:

NBA (PLAYOFF)
07:00
! Live
Boston Celtics
Philadelphia 76ers
  4.50 0.95   173.50 o 0.90   o 0.94                 o 0.94    
    0.93     u 0.96   e 0.94                 e 0.94  
09:30
! Live
Oklahoma City Thunder
LA Lakers
  7.50 0.95   191.0 o 0.91   o 0.94                 o 0.94    
    0.93     u 0.95   e 0.94                 e 0.94  

 

Verdict: 76ers eat 4.5 and Oklahoma game advised to skip or small bet on Oklahoma give.



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arsenalan
14-May 2012 Monday 7:18 PM (4366 days ago)            #26
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where to get the past head to head results?

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KlavierJoenessGavin
14-May 2012 Monday 7:20 PM (4366 days ago)            #27
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quote originally posted by arsenalan:

where to get the past head to head results?



u can use vegasinsider dot com.
 



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tiara
14-May 2012 Monday 7:54 PM (4366 days ago)            #28
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Very impressive.. U dont mind to share with us on how's ur predictions derived?

Thanks and good luck bro...



TAIPING KIA... TIGERS ROAR K.E VII..MAGNI NOMINIS UMBRA...

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KlavierJoenessGavin
14-May 2012 Monday 8:00 PM (4366 days ago)            #29
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quote originally posted by tiara:

Very impressive.. U dont mind to share with us on how's ur predictions derived?

Thanks and good luck bro...


The derivation method will be out after playoffs.

 



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arsenalan
14-May 2012 Monday 8:58 PM (4366 days ago)            #30
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quote originally posted by KlavierJoenessGavin:




u can use vegasinsider dot com.
 





thanks bro, will be waiting for u to release ur secret formula.

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peacenjoy
15-May 2012 Tuesday 2:26 AM (4366 days ago)            #31
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quote originally posted by KlavierJoenessGavin:

Predictions For Tomorrow NBA game:



Boston 14.5



TG 170.5



 



Oklahoma 9



TG 188



 



Odds:
































































NBA (PLAYOFF)

07:00
! Live

Boston Celtics
Philadelphia 76ers

 

4.50

0.95

 

173.50

o

0.90

 

o

0.94

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

o

0.94

 

 

 

 

0.93

 

 

u

0.96

 

e

0.94

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

e

0.94

 






















































09:30
! Live

Oklahoma City Thunder
LA Lakers

 

7.50

0.95

 

191.0

o

0.91

 

o

0.94

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

o

0.94

 

 

 

 

0.93

 

 

u

0.95

 

e

0.94

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

e

0.94

 


 



Verdict: 76ers eat 4.5 and Oklahoma game advised to skip or small bet on Oklahoma give.





hi bro, where did you come out with the prediction odds?
thannks a lot for trying to help bros and sis in AB... Smile

This message was edited by peacenjoy on 15-May-2012 @ 2:31 AM




Good luck & cheerios!

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KlavierJoenessGavin
15-May 2012 Tuesday 2:48 AM (4366 days ago)            #32
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quote originally posted by peacenjoy:




hi bro, where did you come out with the prediction odds?
thannks a lot for trying to help bros and sis in AB...

This message was edited by peacenjoy on 15-May-2012 @ 2:31 AM



I will release after play offs dun worry guys.

 

I am here to help ppl fish and kill the bookies together.
 



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peacenjoy
15-May 2012 Tuesday 2:51 AM (4366 days ago)            #33
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quote originally posted by KlavierJoenessGavin:




I will release after play offs dun worry guys.



 



I am here to help ppl fish and kill the bookies together.
 





thanks...
congrates on landing your job!




Good luck & cheerios!

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tiara
15-May 2012 Tuesday 3:17 AM (4366 days ago)            #34
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quote originally posted by KlavierJoenessGavin:

Predictions For Tomorrow NBA game:



Boston 14.5



TG 170.5



 



Oklahoma 9



TG 188



 



Odds:
































































NBA (PLAYOFF)

07:00
! Live

Boston Celtics
Philadelphia 76ers

 

4.50

0.95

 

173.50

o

0.90

 

o

0.94

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

o

0.94

 

 

 

 

0.93

 

 

u

0.96

 

e

0.94

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

e

0.94

 






















































09:30
! Live

Oklahoma City Thunder
LA Lakers

 

7.50

0.95

 

191.0

o

0.91

 

o

0.94

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

o

0.94

 

 

 

 

0.93

 

 

u

0.95

 

e

0.94

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

e

0.94

 


 



Verdict: 76ers eat 4.5 and Oklahoma game advised to skip or small bet on Oklahoma give.





Based on the above predictions, can i say both games are OVER or bookies are favouring OVER?

Thanks bro...



TAIPING KIA... TIGERS ROAR K.E VII..MAGNI NOMINIS UMBRA...

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mr pipi
15-May 2012 Tuesday 3:28 AM (4366 days ago)            #35
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Hi bro I must say you have done a great work! Are you using poisson model in stats for e NBA compilation odds ? Few years ago I got some info on a web for soccer exact soccer formulation. It's emphasize on making Value bets of exact soccer the success rate is gd and odds is good too. A pity after tt I went army and lost e file. Are you using similar model?
Last of all I must say Yr strike rates overall is very very good! Well done n thank you for sharing with all bros



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KlavierJoenessGavin
15-May 2012 Tuesday 3:31 AM (4366 days ago)            #36
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quote originally posted by mr pipi:

Hi bro I must say you have done a great work! Are you using poisson model in stats for e NBA compilation odds ? Few years ago I got some info on a web for soccer exact soccer formulation. It's emphasize on making Value bets of exact soccer the success rate is gd and odds is good too. A pity after tt I went army and lost e file. Are you using similar model?
Last of all I must say Yr strike rates overall is very very good! Well done n thank you for sharing with all bros




No. This formula does not evolve in poisson models.



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KlavierJoenessGavin
15-May 2012 Tuesday 3:34 AM (4366 days ago)            #37
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quote originally posted by tiara:




Based on the above predictions, can i say both games are OVER or bookies are favouring OVER?

Thanks bro...


u cant say that because it is only slight. I have mentioned in one of the above posts that if the difference is more than 10, you can say bookies are strongly favouring one side. if difference less than 5, better dun bet.

 

besides, you got to compare the 2 differences of the handicap and TG. Lets say handicap is 10 ball difference while tg is 15 points difference then you bet on the TG instead and vice versa.

 



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imthi3f
15-May 2012 Tuesday 9:38 AM (4365 days ago)            #38
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quote originally posted by KlavierJoenessGavin:


u cant say that because it is only slight. I have mentioned in one of the above posts that if the difference is more than 10, you can say bookies are strongly favouring one side. if difference less than 5, better dun bet.



 



besides, you got to compare the 2 differences of the handicap and TG. Lets say handicap is 10 ball difference while tg is 15 points difference then you bet on the TG instead and vice versa.
 



grats on 76ers!! and looking forward for tomorrow's matches Smile



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KlavierJoenessGavin
15-May 2012 Tuesday 12:23 PM (4365 days ago)            #39
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JP again. Hope u guys win money too.

Take note, by no means sure win, so still at your own risks.

 

Predictions For Tomorrow's Game.

 

Spurs give 9

TG 209

 

Miami 9.5

TG 199.5

 

Opening Odds:

 

Spurs 11.5

TG 190.5

 

Handicap = 2.5 ball difference

TG = 19 points difference

 

Miami 7

TG 185

 

Handicap = 2.5 ball difference

TG = 15.5 points difference

 

Verdict: Both under.



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tiara
15-May 2012 Tuesday 5:24 PM (4365 days ago)            #40
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quote originally posted by KlavierJoenessGavin:

JP again. Hope u guys win money too.



Take note, by no means sure win, so still at your own risks.



 



Predictions For Tomorrow's Game.



 



Spurs give 9



TG 209



 



Miami 9.5



TG 199.5



 



Opening Odds:



 



Spurs 11.5



TG 190.5



 



Handicap = 2.5 ball difference



TG = 19 points difference



 



Miami 7



TG 185



 



Handicap = 2.5 ball difference



TG = 15.5 points difference



 



Verdict: Both under.





Congrats and thank you very much..

Not being greedy but appreciate if u could release the formula by now, so that we can do our homework while games are still on.. I think it works for WNBA as well right?

Thanks again bro...



TAIPING KIA... TIGERS ROAR K.E VII..MAGNI NOMINIS UMBRA...

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星星知我心
15-May 2012 Tuesday 11:05 PM (4365 days ago)            #41
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Hope all things work well for you bro. But nonetheless... I welcome the forumla haha...

all the best really.

This message was edited by 星星知我心 on 15-May-2012 @ 11:29 PM




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KlavierJoenessGavin
16-May 2012 Wednesday 4:21 AM (4365 days ago)            #42
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quote originally posted by tiara:

Congrats and thank you very much..

Not being greedy but appreciate if u could release the formula by now, so that we can do our homework while games are still on.. I think it works for WNBA as well right?

Thanks again bro...



it should work for all basketball games but the formula will only work if u can provide head to head stats.

i have made the bottomline. the formula will be out at the end of the playoffs. i appreciate your patience on this bro. Thanks.



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RickRoss
16-May 2012 Wednesday 5:50 AM (4365 days ago)            #43
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For head to head i think this will be helpful annabet dot com! thank you for your work!

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RickRoss
16-May 2012 Wednesday 5:58 AM (4365 days ago)            #44
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I wish your strategy were good! I am tired to lose! excuse me for my english...

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KlavierJoenessGavin
16-May 2012 Wednesday 6:03 AM (4365 days ago)            #45
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quote originally posted by RickRoss:

For head to head i think this will be helpful annabet dot com! thank you for your work!




Thanks. Lets see how it goes for other leagues.



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RickRoss
16-May 2012 Wednesday 6:19 AM (4365 days ago)            #46
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Waiting for your verdict for other leagues very much! are give\eat stats very nesesary for your prediction?

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KlavierJoenessGavin
16-May 2012 Wednesday 6:36 AM (4365 days ago)            #47
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Basketball Games On 16 May:

11PM:

Prediction:

Anadolu give 2

TG 144.5

Odds:

Anadolu -2

TG 149

Verdict: No bet since no difference on handicap and slight difference on TG


2.30AM on 17 May:

Predictions:

Le Mans give 2
TG 156

Paris give 4
TG 168

Cholet give 1
TG 149.5

Lyon give 21.5
TG 158.5

Orleans give 19.5
TG 152.5

Nancy give 9
TG 147

Gravelines give 9
TG 152.5
 

Orthez give 2.5

TG 175.5

France Pro A Basketball League
05/17 02:30 Pau Orthez
Hyeres Toulon Var Basket
  12.50 0.96   171.50 o 0.93   o 0.94   6.50 0.94   85.0 o 0.91   o 0.94    
    0.90     u 0.91   e 0.94     0.90     u 0.91   e 0.94  
05/17 02:30 Orleans Loiret Basket
Poitiers Basket 86
  12.0 0.94   149.50 o 0.92   o 0.94   6.50 0.94   74.0 o 0.91   o 0.94    
    0.92     u 0.92   e 0.94     0.90     u 0.91   e 0.94  
05/17 02:30 SLUC Nancy
Jeanne d.Arc Dijon Bourgogne
  11.0 0.93   147.0 o 0.92   o 0.94   6.0 0.94   73.0 o 0.91   o 0.94    
    0.93     u 0.92   e 0.94     0.90     u 0.91   e 0.94  
05/17 02:30 STB Le Havre
Paris Levallois
    0.90   161.0 o 0.84   o 0.94     0.90   80.50 o 0.91   o 0.94    
  1.0 0.96     u 1.00   e 0.94   0.50 0.94     u 0.91   e 0.94  
05/17 02:30 Cholet Basket
Strasbourg IG
  10.50 0.90   157.50 o 0.92   o 0.94   5.50 0.92   78.0 o 0.91   o 0.94    
    0.96     u 0.92   e 0.94     0.92     u 0.91   e 0.94  
05/17 02:30 ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne
Chorale Roanne
    0.98   149.50 o 0.94   o 0.94     0.94   74.0 o 0.91   o 0.94    
  1.0 0.88     u 0.90   e 0.94   0.50 0.90     u 0.91   e 0.94  
05/17 02:30 Gravelines Dunkerque
ES Chalon sur Saone
  7.50 0.82   154.0 o 0.92   o 0.94   4.0 0.86   76.50 o 0.91   o 0.94    
    1.04     u 0.92   e 0.94     0.98     u 0.91   e 0.94  
05/17 02:30 JSF Nanterre
Le Mans Sarthe
    0.99   164.0 o 0.90   o 0.94     0.96   81.50 o 0.91   o 0.94    
  3.0 0.87     u 0.94   e 0.94   1.50 0.88     u 0.91   e 0.94

 

This message was edited by KlavierJoenessGavin on 16-May-2012 @ 6:38 AM



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KlavierJoenessGavin
16-May 2012 Wednesday 6:43 AM (4365 days ago)            #48
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Verdict on French Pro A:

Bet on Chorales give 1, Orthez give 12.5, Cholet give 10.5



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Santang
16-May 2012 Wednesday 4:07 PM (4364 days ago)            #49
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NICE SHARE BRO

FOR BASKETBALL NON NBA, WHERE I CAN FIND SPREAD BEFORE OPEN LINE ?



Photobucket

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mr pipi
16-May 2012 Wednesday 4:58 PM (4364 days ago)            #50
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Bro just asking does this formula work for other league other than NBA also? I will whack man at 2am if you are confident thanks



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星星知我心
16-May 2012 Wednesday 8:00 PM (4364 days ago)            #51
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quote originally posted by mr pipi:

Bro just asking does this formula work for other league other than NBA also? I will whack man at 2am if you are confident thanks


bro, i would advise pls dont whack or showhand.
no doubt i have confidence in KJ's picks, but no offence to KJ... there are times where the picks didn't go thru, and worse, even got claypot times.
in my opinion, i would only say the picks might be profitable in the long run. how long? maybe in a season, i dont know.
for me, i intend to use say, 1k capital and at the end of the season, got 3k, this already mean i got 300% winnings.
just sharing a thought.




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KlavierJoenessGavin
17-May 2012 Thursday 2:20 AM (4364 days ago)            #52
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quote originally posted by Santang:

NICE SHARE BRO



FOR BASKETBALL NON NBA, WHERE I CAN FIND SPREAD BEFORE OPEN LINE ?





what do u mean? if there is plate online means no spread can be found.



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KlavierJoenessGavin
17-May 2012 Thursday 2:21 AM (4364 days ago)            #53
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quote originally posted by 星星知我心:

bro, i would advise pls dont whack or showhand.
no doubt i have confidence in KJ's picks, but no offence to KJ... there are times where the picks didn't go thru, and worse, even got claypot times.
in my opinion, i would only say the picks might be profitable in the long run. how long? maybe in a season, i dont know.
for me, i intend to use say, 1k capital and at the end of the season, got 3k, this already mean i got 300% winnings.
just sharing a thought.




yes. sometimes the bookies favoured side can fail also due to human factor.

today spurs cleared by 8.5 pts for over. even though bookies strongly favoured under, the score in the first 3 quarters is simply too much to even have an under result.



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KlavierJoenessGavin
17-May 2012 Thursday 2:22 AM (4364 days ago)            #54
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quote originally posted by mr pipi:

Bro just asking does this formula work for other league other than NBA also? I will whack man at 2am if you are confident thanks




i m not sure but i do think it should work. i advise go small or monitor results first. I will make a bet on roanne and orthez.

This message was edited by KlavierJoenessGavin on 17-May-2012 @ 2:25 AM



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RickRoss
17-May 2012 Thursday 2:37 AM (4364 days ago)            #55
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ye, lets monitor the french... how about NBA mathes for today?

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KlavierJoenessGavin
17-May 2012 Thursday 9:14 AM (4363 days ago)            #56
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just woke up.

French Pro claypot. seems like doesnt work for French.

Predictions:

Okla give 13.5
TG 193

Verdict: Small bet on Lakers eat.



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17-May 2012 Thursday 12:21 PM (4363 days ago)            #57
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Formula for NBA still rocks.

I guess we shall make do with NBA only.



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17-May 2012 Thursday 3:46 PM (4363 days ago)            #58
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Maybe the reason is that there is no play-off in French league now??? Can we try ones more in Spain, Belgium, Italy for example where 1/4 play-offs goes now, only for finish the experiment?

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KlavierJoenessGavin
17-May 2012 Thursday 8:10 PM (4363 days ago)            #59
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quote originally posted by RickRoss:

Maybe the reason is that there is no play-off in French league now??? Can we try ones more in Spain, Belgium, Italy for example where 1/4 play-offs goes now, only for finish the experiment?




I am quite inclined to play euro leagues using this formula. Reason is because vegasinsider is specialised in NBA stats and probably the stats they focused on are good at allowing me to determine the odds predictions. Annabet is very generic and since it is very generic, the stats they provide is too comprehensive and I might be focusing on the wrong stats.

This message was edited by KlavierJoenessGavin on 17-May-2012 @ 8:11 PM



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mr pipi
17-May 2012 Thursday 11:14 PM (4363 days ago)            #60
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hi bro i got burnt ytr on france bball...lol
any tips for nba for me to get my profits back?



thanks



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KlavierJoenessGavin
18-May 2012 Friday 12:13 AM (4363 days ago)            #61
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quote originally posted by mr pipi:

hi bro i got burnt ytr on france bball...lol
any tips for nba for me to get my profits back?



thanks


Predictions:

Ind level

TG 204


Spurs give 9

TG 214

 

 

Verdict: Both under. Bet with care, the difference is slightly huge.



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KlavierJoenessGavin
18-May 2012 Friday 12:11 PM (4362 days ago)            #62
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quote originally posted by KlavierJoenessGavin:

Predictions:

 

Ind level

TG 204


Spurs give 9

TG 214

 

 

Verdict: Both under. Bet with care, the difference is slightly huge.



JP.

 



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RickRoss
18-May 2012 Friday 12:28 PM (4362 days ago)            #63
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Had some nerve, watching Spurs, but It works! Evil Grin

Thank you Smile

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arsenalan
18-May 2012 Friday 9:41 PM (4362 days ago)            #64
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tmr nba? hehe

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mr pipi
19-May 2012 Saturday 1:19 AM (4362 days ago)            #65
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quote originally posted by KlavierJoenessGavin:



Predictions:



Ind level



TG 204




Spurs give 9



TG 214



 



 



Verdict: Both under. Bet with care, the difference is slightly huge.





thanks for the tips bro but missed it hahah... any tip for later morning tip off



thanks



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KlavierJoenessGavin
19-May 2012 Saturday 5:02 AM (4362 days ago)            #66
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Ok I am back to posting.

Predictions:

76ers give 8

TG 188.5


Lakers give 5

TG 210.5

Verdict:

Both Under and small bet on Celtics makan.



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星星知我心
19-May 2012 Saturday 12:58 PM (4361 days ago)            #67
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Jp again bro!




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KlavierJoenessGavin
19-May 2012 Saturday 1:55 PM (4361 days ago)            #68
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quote originally posted by 星星知我心:

Jp again bro!




cp today lah bro.

bet on under not easy.



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星星知我心
19-May 2012 Saturday 2:05 PM (4361 days ago)            #69
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oh sorry. saw the wrong handicap. no worries. as long as long term profits is good enough.




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arsenalan
20-May 2012 Sunday 12:31 AM (4361 days ago)            #70
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no prediction for clippers later bro?

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KlavierJoenessGavin
20-May 2012 Sunday 2:53 AM (4361 days ago)            #71
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Predictions:

Spurs give 3

TG 189


Oklahoma give 3

TG 210.5

Verdict: Lakers Under 189. Skip the rest.



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bigArsenalfan
21-May 2012 Monday 8:06 AM (4360 days ago)            #72
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quote originally posted by KlavierJoenessGavin:

Predictions:

Spurs give 3

TG 189


Oklahoma give 3

TG 210.5

Verdict: Lakers Under 189. Skip the rest.




You meant Spurs Under 189 right? If so, CONGRATS! Smile Smile Smile



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KlavierJoenessGavin
21-May 2012 Monday 10:55 PM (4359 days ago)            #73
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Very tired after first day of work. No internet during work time.

Predictions for tomorrow.

Boston give 11.5

TG 173

OKC give 13

TG 170.5

Verdict: Lakers over 191.5



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RickRoss
23-May 2012 Wednesday 3:25 AM (4358 days ago)            #74
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Have some tips for today?

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johnnybravo
25-May 2012 Friday 12:02 AM (4356 days ago)            #75
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bro no more tips?
looking at heat -3




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KlavierJoenessGavin
27-May 2012 Sunday 6:14 AM (4354 days ago)            #76
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Predictions:

Celtics give 11.5

TG 174.5

Verdict: Difference is higher on the handicap side not the total goals so we can try a bit on 76ers eat 5.5. 6 points difference on the handicap is not alot and hence, small stakes on eat.



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BogdanT
26-Jan 2013 Saturday 11:11 PM (4109 days ago)            #77
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Bro KJG, the NBA season is ongoing. Does your magic formula still work?

You've had impressive results last season!

Thank you!




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