Simple Give Ball and Eat Ball Strategy Based on 3 Tier Handicap.

Lets re-cap the meaning of 3 Tier Handicap:

Bookies 'Impression' Of The Game(Based on EPL 3 Tier and Asian Handicaps Lower Than -1 Ball)

UNDER NORMAL OVER
2.25 2.5 2.75

*I gonna revamp this lesson as I would like to make it a little easier to understand.*

For this lesson, you got to look for the following conditions first before we decide to GIVE or EAT balls.

1. LOOK FOR OVER BALL WATER MONEY RANGING FROM 0.65 to 0.85.*VERY IMPORTANT*

2. YOU ONLY LOOK FOR CLOSING ODDS AKA 15 TO 5 MINS BEFORE KO.

3. ODDS MUST BE STAGNANT OR CONSISTENT DURING THE CLOSING ODDS AKA FLUCTUATION BETWEEN 0.05 CENTS DIFFERENCE ONLY.

For e.g, The water money might swinging from win 0.75 to 0.80 the most.

Now for deciding to give or eat..................

GIVE BALL CRITERIA:

1. THE HANDICAP OF THE GIVE BALL MUST FALL WITHIN 1.5 BALL DIFFERENCE BETWEEN AHO AND THE TG HANDICAP.

i.e If the AHO is 1.5, the TG must not be 3.25 or above regardless of any tier.

2. THE WATER MONEY OF THE GIVE BALL MUST BE HIGHER THAN THE OVER BALL AND MUST NOT EXCEED WIN 0.875.

for e.g below,

3. IF SAME SITUATIONS APPLIES FOR FIRST HALF AND FULL TIME ODDS LIKE THE ABOVE DURING CLOSING, AS GOOD AS SURE WIN.

EAT BALL CRITERIA:

1. DETERMINE IF THE TG HANDICAP IS HIGHEST OR MID OF THE 3 TIER HANDICAP.*VERY IMPORTANT*

2. LOOK FOR AHO 0.25 OR 0.5 ONLY.

3. THE EAT BALL WATER MONEY MUST BE LOWER THAN THE OVER BALL WATER MONEY! *VERY IMPORTANT*

for e.g below,

Note: I have tuned the lesson to be even more easier to bet and easier to win.

Based on the above mentioned conditions, I believed 95% SURE WINS are easier than you think now.

This message was edited by KlavierJoenessGavin on 09-May-2012 @ 6:22 AM

Barca is giving 1.75 which is 0.75 ball higher than 1 ball. So I always tend to minus the remaining 0.75 (AHO 1.75 - 1 = 0.75) from the TG Handicap which is 3 - 0.75 = 2.25 ( This is the supposed TG Handicap if Barca is giving 1 ball)

Barca giving 1.75 with TG 3 is almost comparable to Barca giving 1 ball with TG 2.25 in theory wise not in scoreline. Which means this game is good to give ball as bookie do not favour away team to score. In Spanish game, TG 2.25 is meaning UNDER in bookies' impression.

So now, the give ball water money is still not favouring either side but over ball water money is favoured at 85 and 85 is within range of my theory.

If by tomorrow before KO, Barca give 1.75 win 87.5 to 92.5 range while over ball remains 85 to 80. Barca should clear the handicap. =)

Not a perfect example of give ball theory due to high handicap, but this should give u some idea what am I talking about.

Wigan at home 3 Tier Handicap is special = 2, 2.25, 2.5

U dun see Wigan open 2.5 often at home do u? hehe.

So in this game it fits almost perfectly if Wigan TG over ball is win 90 and below while eat ball water money maintaining below the over ball water money.

If before KO, the over ball water money  becomes 90 or below and eat ball remains below win 90. Eat Wigan should be sure win.

Life is a blessing!

My odds reading does not conclude correct score. It only helps u to choose the correct side.
 

quote originally posted by Derp:

In this lesson, the closing odds signal is of priority towards opening odds signal in this lesson. lets use barca game as an example.

 

Opening odds: Looks like we can take Barca but give ball water money just nice within range. might win half bet.

Current odds: AHO and TG got rose up one level for awhile and drop back to original level. Still worth following the odds. If AHO and TG go to another level, it is best to skip since I have not gone thru other forms of odds signals.

 

This message was edited by KlavierJoenessGavin on 25-Apr-2012 @ 1:25 AM

REASON:

WHEN WE GIVE BALL, WE DUN WANT THE NON FAVOURITES TO SCORE.

WHEN WE EAT BALL, WE WANT THE UNDERDOG TO SCORE.

i wont be able to show the past odds movement for games ended before ytd. but let me see if we have any potential games tonight.

Perfect. We will monitor this.

 

Though not all of them have fulfilled the water money criteria, but generally what I am trying to say is taking UNDERDOGS at the highest of the 3 Tier Handicap have immense advantage in terms of scoring powers.

AC Milan game can avoid. AHO and TG got changes in handicap.

This is a good scenario except over water money has plunged down to win 55.

Still home team give have a good chance to win handicap!

3 Tier For Dutch Division 2: 2.75, 3, 3.25

This game Zwolle give 1.5 which is 0.5 higher than 1 ball. So being 3.25 TG is quite reasonably to the low TG side and can be said to be equivalent to Zwolle give 1 ball and TG 2.75.

At first glance, looks decent. Win 88 on give ball isnt the strongest under the give ball theory. I would prefer a number like 80 or 77.

However, worth the consideration and monitoring.Personal feel is Zwolle give alittle too little for a number 1 to number 18 team.

2.75 is the lowest and a lower placing team is favourites to a higher placing team. Level ball is very little favourite but bear in mind that Volendam is 14th place vs 3rd place. Volendam odds remains like this till KO is a good opportunity to bet on them.

I am going out now to drink and play. See ya guys later.