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Posted By Topic: over/under strategy 4 u       - Views: 9840
rockers
17-Sep 2010 Friday 11:17 PM (4971 days ago)               #1
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This is an Under/Over strategy

I'm afraid it looks a bit simple, but it has been quite profitable for me.
As mentioned it's an under/over strategy and it's based only on statistics.

Let's imagine that there's a match between team A and team B.
(A is the home team). First of all I will check what is team
A's average of goals scored and conceded at home. Let's say
that team A scores 2.1 and concedes 1.20 - total of 3.30
goals average in team A's home games.

Then I will check what team B's average of goals scored and
conceived in their away games is.
Let's say that team B scores 1.75 avg. and concedes 1.15 -
a total of 2.90 goals avg. in team B's away games.

Then I take the two smallest numbers 1.15 + 1.20 = 2.35 -
minimum goals in this match. In the same manner you find the
maximum which is 3.85. The avg. of the min/max is 3.10 which
is much more the line of 2.50, so I will bet over in this game.

If I get an avg. of 2.70 or more I will bet over with high
stakes. If it's between 2.50 and 2.70 I will decide by myself
if the OVER bet is worth a try, but it will definitely be
with small stakes.
If I get an average between 2.30 and 2.50 I will decide if the
UNDER bet is worth a try and it will definitely be with
small stakes.

If I get an average of 2.30 or lower I will bet under with
high stakes.

Of course, sometimes I don't necessarily bet on the 2.50 line.
I might also bet on lines of 3.00, 2.00 and others.

I have already increased my bank by 50% in one month using this
betting strategy and I will certainly continue increasing
my betting bank further.

Smile

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741223
19-Sep 2010 Sunday 11:30 PM (4969 days ago)            #2
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Bro, from where did u get the numbers? eg 2.1, 1.75 etc Which website?

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badtz84
26-Sep 2010 Sunday 12:27 AM (4963 days ago)            #3
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quote originally posted by 741223:

Bro, from where did u get the numbers? eg 2.1, 1.75 etc Which website?




You can simply calculate yourself. Eg. Total goals scored at home divided by total home games to get the average number of goals scored at home. Sometimes we have to do things ourself instead of trying to get them without any efforts you know ?






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thj062789
26-Sep 2010 Sunday 4:56 PM (4962 days ago)            #4
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Then I take the two smallest numbers 1.15 + 1.20 = 2.35 -
minimum goals in this match




whre we find the minimun goal for tat matc???
not understand this part (2.35 -minimum goals in this match) Smile



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papajack
27-Sep 2010 Monday 11:45 AM (4961 days ago)            #5
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@thj

The answer to your question

Team a score 2.3 and concede 1.20

Team B score 1.75 and concede 1.15

The two smallest number 1.15 and 1.20




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kewell5669
30-Sep 2010 Thursday 1:44 PM (4958 days ago)            #6
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quote originally posted by rockers:

This is an Under/Over strategy

I'm afraid it looks a bit simple, but it has been quite profitable for me.
As mentioned it's an under/over strategy and it's based only on statistics.

Let's imagine that there's a match between team A and team B.
(A is the home team). First of all I will check what is team
A's average of goals scored and conceded at home. Let's say
that team A scores 2.1 and concedes 1.20 - total of 3.30
goals average in team A's home games.

Then I will check what team B's average of goals scored and
conceived in their away games is.
Let's say that team B scores 1.75 avg. and concedes 1.15 -
a total of 2.90 goals avg. in team B's away games.

Then I take the two smallest numbers 1.15 + 1.20 = 2.35 -
minimum goals in this match. In the same manner you find the
maximum which is 3.85. The avg. of the min/max is 3.10 which
is much more the line of 2.50, so I will bet over in this game.

If I get an avg. of 2.70 or more I will bet over with high
stakes. If it's between 2.50 and 2.70 I will decide by myself
if the OVER bet is worth a try, but it will definitely be
with small stakes.
If I get an average between 2.30 and 2.50 I will decide if the
UNDER bet is worth a try and it will definitely be with
small stakes.

If I get an average of 2.30 or lower I will bet under with
high stakes.

Of course, sometimes I don't necessarily bet on the 2.50 line.
I might also bet on lines of 3.00, 2.00 and others.

I have already increased my bank by 50% in one month using this
betting strategy and I will certainly continue increasing
my betting bank further.




Bro, for the example u give, min/max, what is the max value?



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kewell5669
30-Sep 2010 Thursday 1:51 PM (4958 days ago)            #7
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k. understand liaw.have a try



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23SA
03-Dec 2010 Friday 1:19 PM (4894 days ago)            #8
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bro,how do u calculate the ave min/max using calculater?

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beefiscow
03-Dec 2010 Friday 7:31 PM (4894 days ago)            #9
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bro, any updates with this system?

normally which leagues do you find it more reliable on?

THanks for info! Smile





No analysis, only instinct.

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c141979
27-Feb 2011 Sunday 3:15 PM (4808 days ago)            #10
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what about in playing number game? anyone?

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faithkeeper
09-Mar 2011 Wednesday 4:10 PM (4798 days ago)            #11
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bro how come you never share your picks here?




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Reggie31
11-Mar 2011 Friday 3:09 PM (4796 days ago)            #12
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Based on tour formula, its very hard to get below 2.5??? mostly over 2.5???




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Reggie31
11-Mar 2011 Friday 3:23 PM (4796 days ago)            #13
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Let's see tommorow for Championship and League 1:

this is the outcome of your formula:

Championship:

Coventry City Hull City 2.69
Watford Sheffield United 2.75
Queens Park Ra… Crystal Palace 2.73
Portsmouth Middlesbrough 2.75
Nottingham Forest Doncaster Rovers 3.11 (Whack Over)
Scunthorpe United Leicester City 2.71
Burnley Millwall 2.59
Leeds United Ipswich Town 3.22 (Whack Over)
Derby County Swansea City 2.70

League 1:

AFC Bournemouth Southampton 2.97 (Whack Over)
Leyton Orient Oldham Athletic 2.70
Brighton & Hov… Tranmere Rovers 2.95 (Whack Over)
Rochdale Exeter City 2.98 (Whack Over)
Bristol Rovers Huddersfield Town 2.86
Yeovil Town Walsall 2.58
Hartlepool United Plymouth Argyle 3.03 (Whack Over)
Swindon Town Dagenham & Red… 2.37
Sheffield Wedn… Notts County 2.69
Charlton Athletic Brentford 2.65
Peterborough U… Carlisle United 3.58 (Whack Over)
Colchester United Milton Keynes Dons 3.03 (Whack Over)

I based on average 2.9 and above I will whack OVER hard.....

See whether the formula trustable????

Good Luck......




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fabianusv
12-Mar 2011 Saturday 1:04 AM (4796 days ago)            #14
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quote originally posted by Reggie31:

Let's see tommorow for Championship and League 1:

this is the outcome of your formula:

Championship:

Coventry City Hull City 2.69
Watford Sheffield United 2.75
Queens Park Ra… Crystal Palace 2.73
Portsmouth Middlesbrough 2.75
Nottingham Forest Doncaster Rovers 3.11 (Whack Over)
Scunthorpe United Leicester City 2.71
Burnley Millwall 2.59
Leeds United Ipswich Town 3.22 (Whack Over)
Derby County Swansea City 2.70

League 1:

AFC Bournemouth Southampton 2.97 (Whack Over)
Leyton Orient Oldham Athletic 2.70
Brighton & Hov… Tranmere Rovers 2.95 (Whack Over)
Rochdale Exeter City 2.98 (Whack Over)
Bristol Rovers Huddersfield Town 2.86
Yeovil Town Walsall 2.58
Hartlepool United Plymouth Argyle 3.03 (Whack Over)
Swindon Town Dagenham & Red… 2.37
Sheffield Wedn… Notts County 2.69
Charlton Athletic Brentford 2.65
Peterborough U… Carlisle United 3.58 (Whack Over)
Colchester United Milton Keynes Dons 3.03 (Whack Over)

I based on average 2.9 and above I will whack OVER hard.....

See whether the formula trustable????

Good Luck......



@reggie31

bro, are you using the correct formula? or are you interpreting the formula correctly? why almost all are over2,5 ????

please take one of them as an example and elaborate here. that would be nice.
so we can see any mistake in interpreting and calculating the formula....

good luck.




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fabianusv
12-Mar 2011 Saturday 9:13 AM (4795 days ago)            #15
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quote originally posted by rockers:

This is an Under/Over strategy

I'm afraid it looks a bit simple, but it has been quite profitable for me.
As mentioned it's an under/over strategy and it's based only on statistics.

Let's imagine that there's a match between team A and team B.
(A is the home team). First of all I will check what is team
A's average of goals scored and conceded at home. Let's say
that team A scores 2.1 and concedes 1.20 - total of 3.30
goals average in team A's home games.

Then I will check what team B's average of goals scored and
conceived in their away games is.
Let's say that team B scores 1.75 avg. and concedes 1.15 -
a total of 2.90 goals avg. in team B's away games.

Then I take the two smallest numbers 1.15 + 1.20 = 2.35 -
minimum goals in this match. In the same manner you find the
maximum which is 3.85. The avg. of the min/max is 3.10 which
is much more the line of 2.50, so I will bet over in this game.

If I get an avg. of 2.70 or more I will bet over with high
stakes. If it's between 2.50 and 2.70 I will decide by myself
if the OVER bet is worth a try, but it will definitely be
with small stakes.
If I get an average between 2.30 and 2.50 I will decide if the
UNDER bet is worth a try and it will definitely be with
small stakes.

If I get an average of 2.30 or lower I will bet under with
high stakes.

Of course, sometimes I don't necessarily bet on the 2.50 line.
I might also bet on lines of 3.00, 2.00 and others.

I have already increased my bank by 50% in one month using this
betting strategy and I will certainly continue increasing
my betting bank further.




bro, when you checking team A's average of goals scored and conceded at home..... is this only when team A meets team B (ALL THE CONFRONTATION scored and concede)? or OVERALL the team A's goal scored and conceded (include team A meet with others team)???

thank you.




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nano_nano
08-Sep 2011 Thursday 10:56 AM (4615 days ago)            #16
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quote originally posted by rockers:

This is an Under/Over strategy

I'm afraid it looks a bit simple, but it has been quite profitable for me.
As mentioned it's an under/over strategy and it's based only on statistics.

Let's imagine that there's a match between team A and team B.
(A is the home team). First of all I will check what is team
A's average of goals scored and conceded at home. Let's say
that team A scores 2.1 and concedes 1.20 - total of 3.30
goals average in team A's home games.

Then I will check what team B's average of goals scored and
conceived in their away games is.
Let's say that team B scores 1.75 avg. and concedes 1.15 -
a total of 2.90 goals avg. in team B's away games.

Then I take the two smallest numbers 1.15 + 1.20 = 2.35 -
minimum goals in this match. In the same manner you find the
maximum which is 3.85. The avg. of the min/max is 3.10 which
is much more the line of 2.50, so I will bet over in this game.

If I get an avg. of 2.70 or more I will bet over with high
stakes. If it's between 2.50 and 2.70 I will decide by myself
if the OVER bet is worth a try, but it will definitely be
with small stakes.
If I get an average between 2.30 and 2.50 I will decide if the
UNDER bet is worth a try and it will definitely be with
small stakes.

If I get an average of 2.30 or lower I will bet under with
high stakes.

Of course, sometimes I don't necessarily bet on the 2.50 line.
I might also bet on lines of 3.00, 2.00 and others.

I have already increased my bank by 50% in one month using this
betting strategy and I will certainly continue increasing
my betting bank further.




bro, where i can get value average of goal for each team? what link?





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antoniusdenny
19-Mar 2012 Monday 6:00 PM (4422 days ago)            #17
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this is top strategy thanks brother Smile



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tsbd
22-Mar 2012 Thursday 1:57 PM (4419 days ago)            #18
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Those stats can be found easily on espn soccernet or any other soccer sites for example.

Well if it works for you, that is more important than anything else with those cash coming in! For those who are dismayed, well take this as merely a suggestion of neutral stand...though it sounds totally illogical if you are discounting MM into your gambling spree...


No offences all bros/ sis!



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Don king
29-Mar 2012 Thursday 2:09 PM (4412 days ago)            #19
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how if it was
1.5 +2.00=3.50 it is over?




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NostsKings
17-Apr 2012 Tuesday 11:45 AM (4393 days ago)            #20
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Whys this thread dead? I'm quite curious to see if this strategy works, combined with odd reading this should be a strong weapon

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KlavierJoenessGavin
17-Apr 2012 Tuesday 11:54 AM (4393 days ago)            #21
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quote originally posted by NostsKings:

Whys this thread dead? I'm quite curious to see if this strategy works, combined with odd reading this should be a strong weapon



u can use the calculations of this method and combine with the 3 Tier Handicap Ruling to determine the likely game flow which the bookies are thinking.

 

For e.g, based on Arsenal home ground 3 Tier Handicap Ruling is 2.5, 2.75, 3

So if the calculated integer is 3.5 which means the chances of more than 3 goals in this game is good but bookie open TG 2.5 only.

That means bookies are firmed that this game is a tight game even though the stats favour 3.5 goals in this game.
 



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NostsKings
17-Apr 2012 Tuesday 12:00 PM (4393 days ago)            #22
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Exactly what I was gonna do lol, to combine this with your strategy plus my personal one. Don't mind me asking though, how do you come up with the 3-tier per game?

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livix
16-Oct 2012 Tuesday 2:23 AM (4212 days ago)            #23
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Let's say that team A scores 2.25 and concedes 1.25 and team B scores 1.20 avg. and concedes 2.05, what is the formula?

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seelangui
16-Oct 2012 Tuesday 9:17 PM (4211 days ago)            #24
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this works  well for you

but....................................

too risky

thats a thing call fix.

and odds are the real facter that cause it.

this way only let you kewn half of the correct over/under

if want to kown it until you hit 80%

need to impove your skill.



see what you want to see believe all you see
My current Mission is keep wining until S_P 斗/close shop
use main & sub method unit 1 unit= $20:
Use main bet as base the rest side bet to add on to max win or more Name it Eye jackpot system 南神眼



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jacky
17-Oct 2012 Wednesday 3:43 AM (4211 days ago)            #25
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i learn much about your betting strategy. thank you so much



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